FHA Watch, August 2012

Article Highlights

  • FHA's capital position worsens...again.

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  • One in six FHA loans continued to be delinquent in July.

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  • FHA serious delinquency rate up to 9.51%.

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This Issue's Highlight

FHA Watch, No. 8, August 2012

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FHA’s Financial Condition Worsens; Denial Dial Once Again Reset to Lowest Level Ever

One in six Federal Housing Administration (FHA) loans continued to be delinquent in July as the total delinquency rate eased slightly to 16.52 percent. This was due to a modest decline in thirty-day delinquencies, offset somewhat by an increase in sixty-day plus delinquencies. The serious delinquency rate ticked up to 9.51 percent.

In July, the FHA had an estimated current net worth of –$24.44 billion and a capital shortfall of $44–63 billion. The FHA’s estimated net worth on a generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) basis has declined by $7 billion since the end of FY 2011. This decline appears to be in line with a recent FHA projection that it may end FY 2012 with $3 billion in reserves, not the $11.5 billion it projected in its FY 2011 Actuarial Report. 

As a result of these data, the Denial Dial has been reset to –2.27 percent, eclipsing the previous low set in June 2012.

This Month’s Features

Note from the Editor: The August issue of FHA Watch will be limited to updating the monthly features only while we work on analyzing the impact of FHA lending practices on our communities.

Spotlight on Insolvency
FHA’s Estimated Net Worth Continues Sharp Decline to –$24.44 Billion, with a Capital Shortfall of $44–63 Billion

Spotlight on Delinquency
One in Six FHA Loans Delinquent in July, and Serious Delinquency Rate Ticks Up to 9.51 Percent

Spotlight on Best Price Execution
Government Mortgage Complex’s Ginnie Brands Improve Further on Their Pricing Dominance over Fannie Mae

The Road Map to FHA Reform
Specific Steps to Reform and the Status of Each

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About the Author

 

Edward J.
Pinto
  • Edward J. Pinto is a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), where he specializes in housing finance and the effect of government housing policies on mortgages, foreclosures, and the availability of affordable housing for working-class families. He is currently researching policy options for rebuilding the US housing finance sector and writes AEI’s monthly FHA Watch.

    An executive vice president and chief credit officer for Fannie Mae until the late 1980s, Pinto has done groundbreaking research on the role of federal housing policy in the 2008 mortgage and financial crisis. Pinto’s work on the Government Mortgage Complex includes seminal research papers submitted to the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission: “Government Housing Policies in the Lead-up to the Financial Crisis” and “Triggers of the Financial Crisis.” In December 2012, he completed a study of 2.4 million Federal Housing Administration (FHA)-insured loans and found that FHA policies have resulted in a high proportion of working-class families losing their homes.

    Pinto has a J.D. from Indiana University Maurer School of Law and a B.A. from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.

  • Phone: 240-423-2848
    Email: edward.pinto@aei.org
  • Assistant Info

    Name: Emily Rapp
    Phone: 202-419-5212
    Email: emily.rapp@aei.org

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