There's no free lunch on tax reform

Tax reform, a major component of the Simpson-Bowles Commission report, Governor Romney's economic agenda, and a recent bill passed by the House of Representatives, is gaining traction and might just be possible next year if there is sufficient political will in Washington. One key metric by which to judge any reform proposal is its ability to promote economic growth. Tax reforms can potentially affect economic growth in many ways: increased labor supply, increased savings and investment, and improvements in the allocation of capital are but three. But there is no free lunch and the more constraints - fiscal, social, or political - the harder it becomes to achieve the growth objective.

Recent discussion of Governor Mitt Romney's tax reform plan by the Tax Policy Center (TPC) focused on that plan's implications for work incentives, but that's just one factor that affects growth. Although TPC cited an article we wrote last year on the do's and don't's of base-broadening and statutory tax rate reduction, they overlooked our observation that "it is particularly important to avoid increases in the tax penalty on saving."

Unfortunately, the Simpson-Bowles plan would increase tax penalties on saving because it would raise tax rates on dividends and capital gains and narrow other savings-related tax preferences.

In contrast, Governor Romney's tax plan for individuals would lower statutory tax rates on ordinary income while leaving tax breaks for saving largely untouched. His corporate tax reform plan would further improve the allocation of capital and foster economic efficiency. Overall, the governor's plan translates into a reduced tax burden on saving and investment, which are key drivers of long-run growth.

As the debate over tax reform intensifies, our key message is this: Income tax reform can be pro-growth only if it carefully distinguishes between the right way and the wrong way to broaden the tax base.

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About the Author

 

Alan D.
Viard
  • Alan Viard was a senior economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and an assistant professor of economics at Ohio State University prior to joining AEI. He has also worked for the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Tax Analysis, the White House's Council of Economic Advisers and the Joint Committee on Taxation of the U.S. Congress. Viard is a frequent contributor to AEI's On the Margin column in Tax Notes. In January 2010, he was named by Tax Notes as a nominee for 2009 Tax Person of the Year. Viard is also the co-author of Progressive Consumption Taxation: The X Tax Revisited published in May 2012.
  • Phone: 202-419-5202
    Email: aviard@aei.org
  • Assistant Info

    Name: Veronika Polakova
    Phone: 202-862-4880
    Email: veronika.polakova@aei.org

 

Alex
Brill
  • Alex Brill, a former policy director and chief economist of the House Ways and Means Committee, also served on the staff of the President's Council of Economic Advisers (CEA). In Congress and at the CEA, Mr. Brill worked on a variety of economic and legislative policy issues, including dividend taxation, the alternative minimum tax, international tax policy, social security reform, defined benefit pension reform, and U.S. trade policy.

    At AEI, Mr. Brill studies the impact of tax policy in the U.S. economy; the fiscal, economic, and political consequences of stimulus legislation; health care reform, pharmaceutical spending, unemployment insurance reform; and financial innovation and technology.
  • Phone: 202-862-5931
    Email: alex.brill@aei.org
  • Assistant Info

    Name: Veronika Polakova
    Phone: 202-862-4880
    Email: veronika.polakova@aei.org

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