The Wrong War at the Wrong Time

Resident Fellow David Frum
Resident Fellow
David Frum

During the run up to the Iraq war, liberals used to complain that President Bush was attacking the wrong enemy. "Iraq did not attack us on 9/11." In reply, President Bush offered a complicated argument about how fighting in Iraq would contribute to American security.

If the US had scored a cheap and easy success in Iraq, Americans would probably have accepted Bush's indirect approach. When things got tough, however, the president's support corroded--and then collapsed. Angry Democrats accused the president of outright deception: "Bush lied, people died."

The big idea advanced by market-oriented economists is to suspend the payroll tax. That measure would put immediate cash, up to $127 per week, into hands of every single American worker.

Barack Obama however seems to have decided to learn from Bush rather than repudiate him. His stimulus package does for the economy what Bush was (unfairly) accused of doing after 9/11: uses the crisis of the moment to redirect the nation toward a solution that Obama and his supporters had in mind all along.

The crisis is the collapse in credit markets, the loss of consumer wealth, and the threat of an accelerating deflation. The answer agreed by most economists is a large and immediate fiscal stimulus: use the federal government's borrowing power to get the country spending again--and fast.

The big idea advanced by market-oriented economists is to suspend the payroll tax. That measure would put immediate cash, up to $127 per week, into hands of every single American worker. It would deliver an additional subsidy of up to $127 per week per employee to every employer.

A payroll tax holiday is not a one-stop magic solution to the nation's problems. It could be joined to other measures, including the more sensible ideas in the Democratic bill: federal aid to state unemployment plans for example and other measures to put money fast into the hands of consumers.

But Democratic proposals for big government construction projects and other forms of direct government spending are completely irrelevant to today's problem.

I'm not saying that public investment is inherently and necessarily bad. We're glad to have the Interstate Highway system and the St. Lawrence Seaway and O'Hare Airport and the Internet.

What I am saying is that good public investment is always slow.

If Democrats have high-return investments to propose--well let them go through the process of proposing and justifying them. But to offer a huge spending program for the years from 2011 through 2014 as a response to a crisis in 2009 . . . well, I'd call that an attack on the wrong enemy.

David Frum is a resident fellow at AEI.

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About the Author


  • David Frum is the author of six books, most recently, Comeback: Conservatism That Can Win Again (Doubleday, 2007). While at AEI, he studied recent political, generational, and demographic trends. In 2007, the British newspaper Daily Telegraph named him one of America's fifty most influential conservatives. Mr. Frum is a regular commentator on public radio's Marketplace and a columnist for The Week and Canada's National Post.

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Tuesday, September 16, 2014 | 5:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m.
The Constitution as political theory

Please join us for the third-annual Walter Berns Constitution Day Lecture as James Ceasar, Harry F. Byrd Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, explores some of the Constitution’s most significant contributions to political theory, focusing on themes that have been largely unexamined in current scholarship.

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Wednesday, September 17, 2014 | 8:10 a.m. – Thursday, September 18, 2014 | 1:30 p.m.
Third international conference on housing risk: New risk measures and their applications

We invite you to join us for this year’s international conference on housing risk — cosponsored by the Collateral Risk Network and AEI International Center on Housing Risk — which will focus on new mortgage and collateral risk measures and their applications.

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Thursday, September 18, 2014 | 2:15 p.m. – 3:00 p.m.
Speaker of the House John Boehner on resetting America’s economic foundation

Please join us as Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) delivers his five-point policy vision to reset America’s economy.

Friday, September 19, 2014 | 9:15 a.m. – 11:00 a.m.
Reforming Medicare: What does the public think?

Please join us as a panel of distinguished experts explore the implications of the report and the consumer role in shaping the future of Medicare.

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