Sovereign debt is not a risk-free asset

Article Highlights

  • In all cases, sovereign debt is not a risk-free asset.

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  • As Anatole Kaletsky wrote a generation ago: "For at least 500 years, governments and nations have defaulted."

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  • The notion that government debt is "risk-free" is a myth promoted by governments.

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Sir, Mario Blejer says: “In most cases, sovereign debt is not a risk-free asset.” This is an understatement. The correct statement is: “In all cases, sovereign debt is not a risk-free asset.” As Anatole Kaletsky wrote a generation ago: “For at least 500 years, governments and nations have regularly defaulted.”

The only question is what form the default may take: explicit default; or implicit default by inflation and currency depreciation, or by financial repression. Default, whether explicit or implicit, is always a risk with every government.

The notion that government debt is “risk-free” is a myth promoted by governments so they can get more money to spend, assisted by the financial regulatory arms of the governments. It has to be added that many economists are also complicit in this effort.

Alex J. Pollock, Resident Fellow, American Enterprise Institute, Washington, DC, US

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About the Author

 

Alex J.
Pollock
  • Alex Pollock joined AEI in 2004 after thirty-five years in banking. He was president and chief executive officer of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago from 1991 to 2004. He is the author of numerous articles on financial systems and the organizer of the “Deflating Bubble” series of AEI conferences. In 2007, he developed a one-page mortgage form to help borrowers understand their mortgage obligations. At AEI, he focuses on financial policy issues, including housing finance, government-sponsored enterprises, retirement finance, corporate governance, accounting standards, and the banking system. He is the lead director of CME Group, a director of Great Lakes Higher Education Corporation and the International Union for Housing Finance, and chairman of the board of the Great Books Foundation.

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