Negative interest rates not impossible
Letter to the editor

Sir, American banks are not expanding their balance sheets to take advantage of fractional reserves the way the banking textbooks describe; instead they sit on more than $1.5tn of excess reserves at the Federal Reserve. One reason is their lack of capital. Another, more intriguing reason is articulated by Bill Gross ("Is ultra-cheap money the problem, not the solution?", Insight, December 20): "Zero-bound money ... creates no incentive to expand it." Good point, but it means that Mr Gross, like many economists, believes that there is a zero bound for interest rates. In fact, this zero limit does not exist. Negative interest rates are perfectly possible and have actually occurred numerous times.

To address Mr Gross's insight, the Fed could give banks a big incentive to expand by setting negative interest rates on their excess reserves. Why doesn't it? Perhaps because the Fed wishes to practise credit allocation by directing funds to housing finance through its own investments in mortgage assets, of which it has bought about $1tn. 

Alex J. Pollock
Resident Fellow
American Enterprise Institute
Washington, D.C.  

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About the Author

 

Alex J.
Pollock
  • Alex Pollock joined AEI in 2004 after thirty-five years in banking. He was president and chief executive officer of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago from 1991 to 2004. He is the author of numerous articles on financial systems and the organizer of the “Deflating Bubble” series of AEI conferences. In 2007, he developed a one-page mortgage form to help borrowers understand their mortgage obligations. At AEI, he focuses on financial policy issues, including housing finance, government-sponsored enterprises, retirement finance, corporate governance, accounting standards, and the banking system. He is the lead director of CME Group, a director of Great Lakes Higher Education Corporation and the International Union for Housing Finance, and chairman of the board of the Great Books Foundation.

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Monday, July 29, 2013 | 10:30 a.m. – 11:30 a.m.
Squaring the circle: General Raymond T. Odierno on American military strategy in a time of declining resources

AEI’s Marilyn Ware Center for Security Studies will host General Raymond Odierno, chief of staff of the US Army, for the second installment of a series of four events with each member of the Joint Chiefs.

Tuesday, July 30, 2013 | 12:00 p.m. – 1:15 p.m.
The Trans-Pacific Partnership and 21st Century Trade Agreements

Please join AEI for a briefing on the TPP and the current trade agenda from 12:00 – 1:15 on Tuesday, July 30th in 106 Dirksen Senate Office Building.

Thursday, August 01, 2013 | 8:10 a.m. – 1:30 p.m.
International conference on collateral risk: Moderating housing cycles and their systemic impact

Experts from the US, Europe, Canada, and Asia will address efforts to moderate housing cycles using countercyclical lending policies.

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