Intelligence, Iraq, and Iran: The view from the New York Times

U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communications Specialist 2nd Class Walter J. Pels

U.S. Soldiers from the Chemical, Biological, Radiation, Nuclear/ Weapons Intelligence Team Platoon, Brigade Troops Battalion, 1st Stryker Brigade Combat Team, 25th Infantry Division make their way to a weapons cache south of Baqubah, Iraq, Jan. 3, 2009

Article Highlights

  • @dpletka’s analysis of James Risen piece about the Ghosts of Iraq Haunting CIA in Tackling #Iran in the NYT.

    Tweet This

  • Intelligence, Iraq, and Iran: The view from the New York Times – by @dpletka

    Tweet This

Saturday’s NYT had a piece bylined by James Risen about the Ghosts of Iraq Haunting CIA in Tackling Iran. It’s a Captain Obvious story in conception: anyone who pays attention knows that the CIA that saw no weapons in Iraq (wrong, 1991), tons of weapons in Iraq (wrong, 2002), and now sees no weaponization of nuclear material in Iran (wrong 2007, 2012) spends all of its time re-fighting the last war. Still, it’s always interesting to get the skinny from the belly of the beast, so I dove into Risen’s piece. And, boy, did I come out smelling like, well, the belly of the beast.

Greg Thielmann begins the bidding with the deep insight that “for a lot of people in the intelligence community, there is a feeling that they don’t want to repeat the same mistake.” Thanks, Greg.  The rest of us in the real world community like to repeat the same mistake. Who’s Greg?  Oh yes, he resigned his State Department analyst job to protest the Bush administration’s “politicization” of prewar Iraq intel.

Segue to Paul Pillar, former national intelligence officer for the Near East and South Asia, recent author of “We Can Live with a Nuclear Iran,” and all-round Bush hater. (Here’s my recent take on him.)  He’ll have an objective take.

We are then reassured that the IC now gets more dope on human sources so they can, you know, discount stuff they think isn’t worthwhile.  But back to Risen’s sources: Next we have Joe Cirincione, president of Ploughshares, devoted enemy of nuclear weapons—but mostly those in America, less those in Iran. Joe gives us his take on past history and on Iran: “The intelligence was so heavily politicized on Iraq,” he comments dispassionately. “The higher up the chain in the government the intelligence reporting went, the more it got massaged, and the doubts and caveats got removed.” Uh, what? The bipartisan Commission on the Intelligence Capabilities of the United States Regarding Weapons of Mass Destruction reported that: “[a]fter a thorough review, the Commission found no indication that the Intelligence Community distorted the evidence regarding Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction. What the intelligence professionals told you about Saddam Hussein’s programs was what they believed. They were simply wrong.”  Having watched the intel closely from 1992-2002, I can confirm no “massaging” was ever necessary.

Finally, we get an opposing view from AEI’s own John Bolton, who speaks for the “some conservatives” mentioned in the piece. (“Some liberals” aren’t mentioned, presumably because at the NYT, liberalism is mainstream, and conservatism is worthy of special annotation.) But Risen moves quickly back to favored topics and sources: He revisits the highly politicized 2007 NIE that claimed Iran had ceased its nuclear weaponization work in 2003, revising the actual narrative (then National Security Adviser Steve Hadley was told that if he tried to in any way alter the outrageously politicized conclusions of that NIE, the agency would leak his demand and create a scandal) to one that reflects favorably on the agency and on the NIE’s authors, one of whom, Tom Fingar, is the next source quoted in this balanced bit of reporting.   “Learning from past mistakes is imperative,” Fingar confides to Risen. “Worrying about them is pointless.” Gotcha.

Danielle Pletka is the Vice President of Foreign and Defense Policy Studies at AEI.

Also Visit
AEIdeas Blog The American Magazine
About the Author

 

Danielle
Pletka

What's new on AEI

AEI Election Watch 2014: What will happen and why it matters
image A nation divided by marriage
image Teaching reform
image Socialist party pushing $20 minimum wage defends $13-an-hour job listing
AEI on Facebook
Events Calendar
  • 20
    MON
  • 21
    TUE
  • 22
    WED
  • 23
    THU
  • 24
    FRI
Monday, October 20, 2014 | 2:00 p.m. – 3:30 p.m.
Warfare beneath the waves: The undersea domain in Asia

We welcome you to join us for a panel discussion of the undersea military competition occurring in Asia and what it means for the United States and its allies.

Tuesday, October 21, 2014 | 8:30 a.m. – 10:00 a.m.
AEI Election Watch 2014: What will happen and why it matters

AEI’s Election Watch is back! Please join us for two sessions of the longest-running election program in Washington, DC. 

Wednesday, October 22, 2014 | 1:00 p.m. – 2:30 p.m.
What now for the Common Core?

We welcome you to join us at AEI for a discussion of what’s next for the Common Core.

Thursday, October 23, 2014 | 10:00 a.m. – 11:00 a.m.
Brazil’s presidential election: Real challenges, real choices

Please join AEI for a discussion examining each candidate’s platform and prospects for victory and the impact that a possible shift toward free-market policies in Brazil might have on South America as a whole.

No events scheduled this day.
No events scheduled today.
No events scheduled this day.
No events scheduled this day.