Undeterred Iran nears nuclear weapons capability

IAEA

Bilateral meeting between Mr. Fereydoun Abbasi Davani, head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, and IAEA Director General Yukiya Amano at the IAEA 55th General Conference, Sept. 19, 2011.

Article Highlights

  • US and international efforts have failed--#Iran is rapidly approaching nuclear capability

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  • IAEA publishes report detailing Iran's growing weaponization activities

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  • A nuclear-capable Iran is fast approaching

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Iran is rapidly approaching the acquisition of a nuclear weapons capability as U.S. and international efforts to prevent or deter it from crossing that threshold have failed. Sanctions imposed by the U.S., UN, European Union, and other Western allies in 2010 and 2011 have not had a significant impact on Iran’s ability to develop a weapons capability or on the regime’s nuclear policy. During this period Iran has overcome the most difficult technical obstacle to acquiring a nuclear weapons capability: the enrichment of uranium from 3.5% to 20%. Enrichment at 20% is near bomb-grade purity given the relative ease of enriching from 20% to weapons-grade levels (near 90%). There are increased indications that the regime has simultaneously worked on acquiring two other elements of a nuclear weapons capability—nuclear payload and delivery vehicle systems—that are far less technically challenging than the production of bomb fuel. The clock is fast ticking down to a nuclear Iran.

Maseh Zarif is a research manager and Iran team lead for AEI's Critical Threats Project.

View the full text of this article at www.criticalthreats.org.

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About the Author

 

Maseh
Zarif
  • Maseh Zarif is the deputy director and Iran research Team Lead for the American Enterprise Institute’s Critical Threats Project. He works on national security issues related to the Middle East and South Asia, with a particular focus on Iran’s nuclear program and its regional activities. He has written for The Wall Street Journal, The Weekly Standard, National Review Online, and Foreign Policy, among others, and has appeared on CNN and Fox. Before joining AEI, he worked for several years in corporate finance as an analyst and a consultant.

  • Phone: 202.862.5929
    Email: maseh.zarif@aei.org

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