How close is this race, really? AEI Political Report, September 2012

AEI Political Report, September 2012

Download PDF
* Barack Obama is in a weaker position than most of his predecessors seeking re-election on some important indicators at this point in the campaign. Only 23 percent of Americans are satisfied with the way things are going in the country, compared to 41 percent in September 2004.

* Americans have a pretty good track record of predicting election winners. Around six in ten say Obama will win in November. We also look at the effect of debates on presidential election outcomes.

* The partisan gap on issues like abortion, government size and efficiency, and global warming is growing. These and other key issues are more sharply divided by political party than by race, education, income or gender.

* Initial reactions to Joe Biden in 2008 were more favorable than early reactions to Paul Ryan in 2012, though polls suggest the VP pick ultimately has little effect on the ticket overall.

* Democrats maintain their advantage on Medicare. Across six pollsters, Americans trust Obama over Romney to handle the issue.

* Approaching the one-year anniversary of Occupy Wall Street, around two in ten Americans identify with the movement or say they are supporters of it.

* Also, polls on educational attainment, Social Security, abortion and more.


How close is this race, really? AEI Political Report, September 2012

 

 

Also Visit
AEIdeas Blog The American Magazine
About the Author

 

Karlyn
Bowman

 

Andrew
Rugg

 

Jennifer K.
Marsico

What's new on AEI

Defeating ISIS: AEI experts weigh-in before the president’s address on Wednesday
image Degrading, defeating, and destroying the Islamic State
image Wealth Building Home Loan: Building wealth through homeownership and retirement savings
image The $3 iPhone
AEI on Facebook
Events Calendar
  • 15
    MON
  • 16
    TUE
  • 17
    WED
  • 18
    THU
  • 19
    FRI
Tuesday, September 16, 2014 | 5:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m.
The Constitution as political theory

Please join us for the third-annual Walter Berns Constitution Day Lecture as James Ceasar, Harry F. Byrd Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, explores some of the Constitution’s most significant contributions to political theory, focusing on themes that have been largely unexamined in current scholarship.

Wednesday, September 17, 2014 | 8:10 a.m. – Thursday, September 18, 2014 | 1:30 p.m.
Third international conference on housing risk: New risk measures and their applications

We invite you to join us for this year’s international conference on housing risk — cosponsored by the Collateral Risk Network and AEI International Center on Housing Risk — which will focus on new mortgage and collateral risk measures and their applications.

Event Registration is Closed
Thursday, September 18, 2014 | 2:15 p.m. – 3:00 p.m.
Speaker of the House John Boehner on resetting America’s economic foundation

Please join us as Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) delivers his five-point policy vision to reset America’s economy.

Event Registration is Closed
Friday, September 19, 2014 | 9:15 a.m. – 11:00 a.m.
Reforming Medicare: What does the public think?

Please join us as a panel of distinguished experts explore the implications of the report and the consumer role in shaping the future of Medicare.

No events scheduled this day.
No events scheduled this day.
No events scheduled this day.
No events scheduled this day.