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| Dimensions: 9'' x 6'' |
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| 179 pages |
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AEI Press
(Washington)
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| Publication Date: January 1999 |
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| Paperback |
| ISBN: 0844741183 |
| Price: $ 19.95 |
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| Hardcover |
| ISBN: 0844741175 |
| Price: $ 39.95 |
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| Examination Copies |
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Medicare cannot survive through the second decade of the next century without major reforms, according to government projections. Growth in the number of Medicare enrollees and the costs of their medical care will outpace the number of workers and their tax contributions to the fund. Yet public-opinion polls indicate that Medicare is not a leading concern for most people. And Medicare reform receives slight attention from politicians and the press.
We ignore the need for Medicare reform at our own peril, say the contributors to Medicare in the Twenty-first Century. These leading health economics experts make various recommendations for saving the popular Medicare program and grapple with finding a solution that is realistic, fair, and efficient. In doing so, they include the history and background analysis of issues and consider the stakes of those with competing interests: the young and the old, the healthy and the sick, taxpayers and beneficiaries, patients and providers.
The authors warn that, the longer we put off Medicare reform, the more costly it will be. Medicare in the Twenty-first Century provides a good foundation for taking pragmatic steps to save the program--before it's too late. Authors include Joseph Antos and Linda Bilheimer, Congressional Budget Office; Bryan Dowd and Roger Feldman, University of Minnesota; Walton Francis, consulting economist and analyst; H. E. Frech III, University of California-Santa Barbara; Len M. Nichols, Urban Institute; Mark V. Pauly, University of Pennsylvania; and Andrew J. Rettenmaier and Thomas R. Saving, Texas A&M University.
Editor Robert B. Helms is a resident scholar at AEI.

Table of Contents

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Contributors
- Introduction: Robert B. Helms
- The Bumpy Road to Reform: Joseph Antos and Linda Bilheimer
- Converting Medicare to Prepaid Health Insurance: Andrew J. Rettenmaier and Thomas R. Saving
- Can Beneficiaries Save Medicare?: Mark V. Pauly
- Managing the Medicare Insurance Market: Len M. Nichols
- The Forgotten Opportunity of Reforming Fee-for-Service Medicare: H. E. Frech III
- Issues in Competitive Pricing: Bryan Dowd and Roger Feldman
- The FEBHP as a Model for Reform: Walton Francis
Tables
- 3-1 Required Contribution Rates Expressed as a Percentage of Life-Cycle Earnings
- 3-2 Transition Cost Estimates in Billions Assuming 5.4 Percent Real Rate of Return and 1 Percent Real Growth in Per Capita Medical Expenditures
- 4-1 Distribution of the Elderly by Family Income as a Percentage of the Poverty Line, 1968 and 1997
- 8-1 Premium Savings from Open Season, 1994-1998
- 8-2 Increase in Average Costs per Enrollee, 1995-199
Figures
- 3-1 Equilibrium Lifetime Consumption
- 3-2 Present Value of Medicare Payment at Age Sixty-five, by Age at Death
- 3-3 System Costs and Tax Revenues, 1998-2050
- 7-1 Demand and Supply of Medicare Entitlement Benefits
- 7-2 Preference of High-Risk Beneficiaries for Cost-Effective Care
- 7-3 Preference of High-Risk Beneficiaries for Cost-Ineffective Care
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