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Home >  Books >  The Poverty of "The Poverty Rate"
The Poverty of "The Poverty Rate"
Print Mail
Measure and Mismeasure of Want in Modern America
By Nicholas Eberstadt
Posted: Monday, October 6, 2008
The Poverty of
Dimensions: 6'' x 9''
190 pages
AEI Press  (Washington)
Publication Date: October 2008
Paperback
ISBN: 978-0-8447-4246-5
Price: $ 20.00
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Since its inception in 1965, America's official poverty rate (OPR) has been the single most important statistic used by policymakers and concerned citizens to evaluate success or failure in the nation's ongoing struggle against material need. But in a critical new examination of this widely followed measure, Nicholas Eberstadt charges that the OPR is, in reality, "a broken compass"--a flawed index generating increasingly misleading numbers about poverty in the United States.

 

The OPR was originally intended to track an absolute level of poverty over time by comparing a family's reported pretax income against a corresponding poverty threshold. But for the past three decades, the OPR has reported trends that are jarringly inconsistent with other statistical indicators of material deprivation. What is the reason for this curious discrepancy? Eberstadt suggests that the OPR's most serious problem is its implicit assumption that poor families will spend no more than their reported annual incomes--in other words, that their income levels are an accurate proxy for their consumption levels. In the decades since the OPR was unveiled, the disparity between reported income and expenditures has progressively widened, making income an ever less reliable predictor of consumption patterns--and, consequently, living standards--for America's poorer families.

 

In The Poverty of "The Poverty Rate," Eberstadt contends that the defects of the current poverty rate are not only severe but irremediable. Income-based measures cannot offer a faithful portrait of consumption patterns or material well-being in the United States. Central though the OPR has become to antipoverty policy, this "untrustworthy yardstick" should be discarded and replaced by more accurate measures of deprivation.

 

 

Nicholas Eberstadt is the Henry Wendt Scholar in Political Economy at the American Enterprise Institute.



Table of Contents

List of Illustrations

 

Acknowledgments

 

Introduction

            The "Poverty Rate" in Historical Perspective

            Why This Book

            A Road Map for This Study

 

1. What Is the Official Poverty Rate, and What Does It Actually Measure?       

 

2. Poverty Trends in Modern America, according to the Official Poverty Rate

 

3. The Official Poverty Rate versus Other Statistical Indicators Bearing on Material Deprivation in America: Growing Discrepancies and Contradictions

 

4. Systematic Differences between Income and Expenditures among Poorer Households in Modern America: A Blind Spot for the Official Poverty Rate

Unresolved Technical Criticisms of the Federal Poverty Measure

Contrasting Measure of Material Standing: Income versus Consumption, Consumer Expenditures, and Consumer Outlays

Income versus Expenditures for Lower Income Americans: Evidence from the Consumer Expenditure Survey

Do Reported Expenditures Understate Consumption Levels for Lower-Income Households?

The Declining Reliability of Income as a Predictor of Household Budgets for Poverty-Level Families

 

5. Accounting for the Widening Reported Gap between Income and Consumption for Lower-Income Americans

            Unsustainable "Overspending" by the Poor?

Changes in CE Survey Methods and Practices

            Income Underreporting

            Increased Year-to-Year Income Variability

A Continuing Puzzle

 

6. Trends in Living Standards for Low-Income Americans: Indications from Physical and Biometric Data

The Principal Categories of Expenditures for Low-Income Consumers

            Food and Nutrition

Housing and Home Appliances

Transportation

Health and Medical Care

Living Standards for America’s Poor: Constant Progress Under A "Constant" Measure

 

Conclusion: Wanted--New Poverty Measure(s) for Modern America

            The Case against the Official Poverty Rate

            Don’t "Mend" It--End It

            New Directions

 

Appendix

 

Bibliography

 

About the Author



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