Third international conference on housing risk: New risk measures and their applications
Cosponsored by the Collateral Risk Network and AEI International Center on Housing Risk
About This Event

Event Summary

A distinguished group of experts on housing risk convened at AEI on Wednesday and Thursday for the third International Conference on Housing Risk. Conference presentations covered a broad range of efforts and proposals to objectively measure housing risk.

The kickoff panel addressed one of the major challenges in housing finance, the development of new measures of housing risk, stressing the importance that these measures must be objective and take advantage of the detailed data that are now available on housing markets and mortgage loans. The following panel emphasized the need to measure collateral risk at finer levels of geography than in the past and how this could lead to a better understanding of the impact on low-income neighborhoods. The luncheon presentation shed light on the extent to which appraisal and underwriting theory and practice have devolved over many decades.

In the early afternoon, AEI’s new Wealth Building Home Loan was featured as a possible solution to the many problems that had been identified during the first half of the day. The first day concluded with presentations on housing markets outside the United States.

The second day kicked off with a panel of notable experts who echoed many of the themes from the first day, including the importance of accurate, micro level information for understanding movements in the housing market. The next panel offered an extensive discussion on multifamily housing, a sector that is experiencing increasing leverage. In the final panel of the day, experts stressed the need for new, better data and detailed analysis of existing data during a discussion on incorporating new risk measures into property valuation approaches.

At the conclusion of the conference, conference leaders Stephen Oliner and Edward Pinto of AEI and Joan Trice of the Collateral Risk Network announced plans to form working groups to address major areas of housing policy and practice that had been identified over the course of the two-day event.
--Lilla Lukacs

Event Description

At the core of the US financial collapse was the lack of an objective standard of safety and soundness in mortgage underwriting and collateral risk assessment. Opaque information regarding these risks meant that homebuyers, lenders, investors, insurers, regulators, and policymakers had neither incentives nor information to moderate the bubble.

Access event presentations and materials here.

We invite you to join us for this year’s international conference on housing risk — cosponsored by the Collateral Risk Network and AEI International Center on Housing Risk — which will focus on new mortgage and collateral risk measures and their applications. Experts from the US, Europe, and Canada will address efforts and proposals to objectively measure housing risk. 


More than 150 people attended last year’s conference. At this year’s conference, you will hear from six panels of experts from academia, the appraisal industry, the financial community, and regulatory bodies.

If you are unable to attend, we welcome you to watch the event live on this page. Full video will be posted within 24 hours.

 

Agenda

Day 1
Wednesday, September 17, 2014

7:45 AM
Registration and Coffee 

8:10 AM 
Welcoming Remarks:
Stephen D. Oliner, AEI
Edward J. Pinto, AEI
Joan Trice, Collateral Risk Network

8:25 AM
Panel I: Measuring mortgage risk 
Presenters:
John Burns, John Burns Estate Consulting
Edward J. Pinto, AEI
Michael Bradley, CoreLogic

Moderator:
Stephen D. Oliner, AEI

10:10 AM
Break

10:25 AM
Panel II: The housing cycle: Case studies on intrinsic value 
Presenters:
Andreas Kunert, vdpResearch 
Stephen D. Oliner, AEI

Discussants:
Norrine Brydon, Marshall & Swift 
M. Lance Coyle, Appraisal Institute 
Robert Dorsey, FNC Inc.

Moderator:
Morris Davis, AEI

12:15 PM
Luncheon presentation: The devolution of appraisal and underwriting theory and practice.
Presenter: 
Edward J. Pinto, AEI

Discussant:
Susan M. Wachter, Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania

1:30 PM
Panel III: Housing risk: Informing the consumer
Presenters:
Bruce Marks, Neighborhood Assistance Corporation of America
Edward J. Pinto, AEI
Krishna Rao, Zillow

3:00 PM
Break 

3:15 PM
Panel IV: Housing risk: International roundtable

Participants: 
Wolfgang Kälberer, Association of German Pfandbrief Banks 
Reiner Lux, HypZert GmbH 
Finn Poschmann, C. D. Howe Institute

Moderator: 
Ken Bjurstrom, Milliman

5:00 PM
Q&A

5:30 PM
Adjournment and Cocktail Reception

Day 2
Thursday, September 18, 2014

7:40 AM
Registration and Coffee 

8:00 AM 
Panel V: Perspectives on housing risk 
Participants: 
Stephen Malpezzi, Wisconsin School of Business
Joseph Tracy, Federal Reserve Bank of New York 
Allan Weiss, Weiss Residential 

Moderator: 
Stephen D. Oliner, AEI

9:15 AM
Panel VI: Housing risk: Multifamily 
Presenters:
Sam Chandan, Chandan Economics
Thomas W. White, AEI 
Charles S. Wilkins, AEI

10:45 AM
Coffee Break 

11:00 AM
Panel VII: Housing risk: Incorporating new risk measures into property valuation approaches 
Presenter: 
Tom Showalter, Digital Risk

Panelists: 
Bill King, Platinum Data Risk 
Scott Reuter, Bank of America 
Eric Schwartz, Amegy Bank

Moderator: 
Joan Trice, Collateral Risk Network 

12:15 PM
Luncheon discussion: Next steps and conference wrap up
Presenters:
Stephen D. Oliner, AEI
Edward J. Pinto, AEI
Joan Trice, Collateral Risk Network 

1:30 PM
Adjournment

Event Contact Information

For more information, please contact Lilla Lukacs at [email protected], 202.862.4878.

Media Contact Information

For media inquiries, please contact [email protected], 202.862.5829.

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