Kenneth P. Green is a resident scholar at AEI, where he studies air pollution and climate change, energy and the environment, transportation and the environment, and environmental chemicals. His work also includes analysis of Canadian environmental policy. He has authored numerous policy studies, newspaper and magazine articles, several encyclopedia entries and book chapters, and a textbook for middle-school students titled Global Warming: Understanding the Debate (Enslow Publishers, 2002). Mr. Green has worked on both U.S. and Canadian policy, first at California’s Reason Foundation, then for nearly three years at British Columbia’s Fraser Institute.
Steven F. Hayward is the F. K. Weyerhaeuser Fellow in Environmental Studies at AEI and a senior fellow at the Pacific Research Institute. He is also an adjunct fellow of the John Ashbrook Center and a former Bradley Fellow at the Heritage Foundation. Mr. Hayward studies the environment, law, political economy, and the presidency. He is author of the annual Index of Leading Environmental Indicators, published jointly by the AEI Press and the Pacific Research Institute. Mr. Hayward contributes to AEI’s Environmental Policy Outlook series and has authored numerous books, including Greatness (Crown, 2005), The Age of Reagan: The Fall of the Old Liberal Order, 1964–1980 (Crown, 2001), and Churchill on Leadership: Executive Success in the Face of Adversity (Crown, 1998). He is the coauthor of Air Quality in America: A Dose of Reality on Air Pollution Levels, Trends, and Health Risks (AEI Press, 2007). Mr. Hayward has also had articles published in National Review, the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, Reason, The Weekly Standard, Policy Review, and the Chicago Tribune.
Daniel B. Botkin is professor emeritus in the Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Marine Biology at the University of California, Santa Barbara. He developed early computer models of environmental phenomena and has directed research on ecosystems around the world. His recent books include Our Natural History: The Lessons of Lewis and Clark (Oxford University Press, 2004), Strange Encounters: Adventures of a Renegade Naturalist (Tarcher Books, 2003), and No Man’s Garden: Thoreau and a New Vision for Civilization and Nature (Island Press, 2001). Mr. Botkin has developed ecology programs for the National Science Foundation and NASA and ecosystem management for the Department of Defense. He also serves on the board of the Environmental Literacy Council.
Orrin Pilkey is the James B. Duke Professor of Geology Emeritus at Duke University. He recently coauthored Useless Arithmetic: Why Environmental Scientists Can't Predict the Future (Columbia University Press, 2007), which argues that quantitative environmental models used by policymakers are flawed and lead to unwise laws. At Duke, he researches basic and applied coastal geography, including evaluating beach replenishment models and programs. He has published articles in many journals, including Science, Physics Today, the Journal of Coastal Research, and the Journal of Sedimentary Research. He is also the former president of the Society for Sedimentary Geology and the Society of Economic Paleontologists and Mineralogists and editor of the Journal of Sedimentary Petrology.
J. Scott Armstrong is a professor of marketing at the Wharton School of Business and a pioneer in the study of forecasting. He founded the Journal of Forecasting and the International Journal of Forecasting. Mr. Armstrong has recently published research on applying forecasting methods to American presidential elections, improving forecasting accuracy, and the use of structured analogies in forecasting. He has also written two widely-used textbooks, Long-Range Forecasting (Wiley, 1978) and Principles of Forecasting (Springer, 2001).
Jim Manzi is CEO of Applied Predictive Technologies (APT), a business consulting firm that uses adaptive quantitative models to optimize outcomes for clients. Before founding APT, Mr. Manzi was a vice president at Mercer Management Consulting and developed pattern recognition software for AT&T Laboratories. He has written articles for National Review and blogged for The American Scene and Grist.
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