President Barack Obama held up the US strategy to counter al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula in Yemen as a model for American counter-terrorism strategy elsewhere. Conditions in Yemen directly affect the success of that model. Yemen faces a myriad of security threats from the al Houthi movement to a southern secessionist movement, as well as deteriorating socio-economic conditions and natural resources. Learn more about the challenges in Yemen.

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Soldiers from the Saudi-led coalition secure a street in Yemen's southern port city of Aden September 26, 2015.   REUTERS/Faisal Al Nasser.

What the ISIS bombings in Aden make clear is that there’s a long fight ahead in Yemen.

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U.S. President Barack Obama (C), flanked by Defense Secretary Ash Carter (L) and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff U.S. Army General Martin Dempsey (R), pauses as he delivers remarks after a briefing on U.S. efforts against the Islamic State (ISIS), at the Pentagon in Arlington, Virginia July 6, 2015.  REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst.

What we’re doing in the Middle East now isn’t working. And a Russian or Iranian compact to terrorize the region with pet dictators and terrorists will be no better.

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Houthi followers demonstrate against Saudi-led air strikes in Yemen's capital Sanaa September 11, 2015. They were also protesting against alleged restrictions on Yemeni pilgrims by Saudi authorities. Reuters

AQAP’s recent successes in Yemen provide an important possible indicator of its future plans. The group remains strong and will probably continue to expand unless forces are deployed to combat the group.

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The current US approach to Yemen has failed alongside the Yemeni state. A new model is needed to defeate al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula.

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A military personnel looks at a damaged vehicle during a tour for journalists at the scene of an al Qaeda attack on the Defence Ministry in Sanaa December 19, 2013.

One year after the Obama administration’s pronouncement of the Yemen model’s success, the country is in complete disarray. Entrenched in civil war, the nation’s instability is feeding the growth and expansion of al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), posing an even greater threat to the United States.

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Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula has expanded and strengthened as the Yemeni state collapses, despite the Obama administration’s counterterrorsm policy. The US needs a new strategy in Yemen.

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As the threat from al Qaeda grows, the United States needs a new, more comprehensive strategy in Yemen.

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U.S. President Barack Obama pauses during remarks on a nuclear deal with Iran at American University in Washington August 5, 2015. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst

President Obama’s Iran deal is so bad, it has not only united Arabs and Israelis. It has united Chuck Schumer and Dick Cheney.

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Ismail Ahmadi-Moqaddam listens to a speech during his introdution as Iran's chief of police in Tehran July 13, 2005. The new chief of Iran's police is a former commander of Iran's basij militia. REUTERS/Morteza Nikoubazl

President Obama may imagine that the Iran deal will persuade Tehran to play a more constructive role in the Middle East, but it seems that not everyone in Tehran got the memo.

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Map by Joshua Koontz, Critical Threats Project

The timing of ISIS’s June 17 attack may mark the beginning of an ISIS Ramadan offensive against the al Houthis in Yemen.

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