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AEI's Economic Outlook SERIES
The Fed has made history by actively initiating a battle against deflation through quantitative easing.
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A deflationary spiral must be avoided at all costs since such a development would virtually ensure a global depression.
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The accelerating adverse feedback loop must be broken before further wealth destruction and more intense economic contraction usher in a global depression as devastating as the one in the 1930s.
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There is a simple solution to the housing-bubble problem that lies behind the current panic: an institution that makes a mortgage loan should be required to keep that loan on its balance sheet.
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The ultimate lesson from the collapse of the housing bubble and the attendant credit crisis is that financial and economic cycles will always be with us.
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As concerns about the economy grow, wecan expecta continued, rapid drop in home prices, the emergence of more troubled financial intermediaries, and continued "rescue packages."
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The Fed is in a bind, pulled toward easier monetary policy by a weak economy and fragile credit markets, while simultaneously needing to resist higher inflation.
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The bursting of the U.S. housing bubble has beenfollowed by suggestions that the worst is over, but the underlying problem has grown worse.
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While tax rebate checks may boost growth slightly, the persistent drag from wealth losses will undercut the Fed's forecast for a sustainable growth rebound.
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The pattern of market panic and reaction by the Fed to save the day has been repeated over and over again and with rapidly increasing frequency since last August.
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Economic Outlook In the latest Economic Outlook, John H. Makin says the Fed should not try to stop the dollar's slide. Read more.
Russian Outlook In a new Russian Outlook, Leon Aron examines what Russia's company towns reveal about the country's economy. Read more.
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