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Monday, November 23, 2009
 
 
PAPERS  &  STUDIES
The Subprime Turmoil
What's Old, What's New, and What's Next
 
The American financial system, if it remains true to its history, will adapt and innovate its way back to profitability and high stock prices sooner than is suggested bycurrent dire predictions.
 

We are currently experiencing a major shock to the financial system, initiated by problems in the subprime mortgage market, which spread to securitization products and credit markets more generally. Banks are being asked to increase the amount of risk that they absorb (by moving off-balance sheet assets onto their balance sheets), but losses that the banks have suffered limit their capacity to absorb those risky assets. The result is a reduction in aggregate risk capacity in the financial system--a bank credit crunch caused by a scarcity of equity capital in banks--as losses force those who are used to absorbing risk to have to limit those exposures.

This essay considers the origins of the subprime turmoil, and the way the financial system has responded to it. There are both old and new components in both the origins and the propagation of the subprime shock. . . .

Download file The full text of this article is available here as an Adobe Acrobat PDF.

Charles W. Calomiris is a visiting scholar at AEI.