Elections

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Looking at developments in the 2016 campaign, there are two impossible things — impossible in the sense that almost every pundit ruled them out — that might happen in the weeks and months ahead.

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This is a crucial tool for figuring out the intersection between demographics and turnout in the next election.

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Scott Walker greets supporters at a rally for Congressman Rod Blum (R-IA) in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, April 24, 2015. Reuters

Republicans can and should promise to protect people with pre-existing conditions

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Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton listens to a question from the audience during a community forum about substance abuse in Keene, New Hampshire August 11, 2015. Reuters

Clinton’s encounter with the #BlackLivesMatter protesters spotlights a problem Democrats face – appeasing a movement whose premises are factually questionable and off-putting to many voters.

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Analysis of the latest polls in target is not good news for Hillary Clinton’s campaign

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Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump greets the crowd in the overflow room following a campaign town hall meeting in Derry, New Hampshire August 19, 2015. Reuters

Historical precedents augur against Donald Trump—but perhaps the old rules no longer apply.

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Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump give a thumbs up as he takes the stage for a campaign town hall meeting in Derry, New Hampshire August 19, 2015. Reuters

Taken seriously and stripped of excesses, Donald Trump’s immigration plan points the way toward a sensible compromise on immigration policy.

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Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump hugs a U.S. flag as he takes the stage for a campaign town hall meeting in Derry, New Hampshire August 19, 2015.  Reuters

Donald Trump’s six-page immigration platform may not be the best, but given the issue’s role in elevating the candidate to a lead in Republican polls, it merits serious attention.

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What is fascinating is that though Sanders and Trump couldn’t be more different culturally, their programs overlap a great deal.

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Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson speaks at the Iowa State Fair in Des Moines, Iowa August 16, 2015. Reuters

When confronted by Black Lives Matter protesters, Republicans should declare that they fully agree — black lives do matter — but that the policies of the past seven years have not made black lives better.

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