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Donald Trump is leading the polls, but prediction markets aren’t buying the “Trump Bump.” For a guy whose pitch is partially based on the fact that he’s “really rich,” it’s a bit ironic that when cash is at stake, Trump’s chances look pretty slim. Let’s take a look at current data from the aggregator PredictWise.
Greece’s government seems determined to incur the world’s blame for the emergent economic turmoil in Europe. Mark Gilbert summed it up accurately for Bloomberg View: “The nation’s stubborn contradictory stance — yes to the euro, no to the conditions of continued membership — isn’t consistent with the euro’s future well-being.” But it isn’t just the […]
Ben Wattenberg joined AEI in 1977. He had been a speechwriter to Lyndon Johnson, an adviser to Humbert Humphrey, and a friend and long-time supporter of Senator Henry “Scoop” Jackson. Wattenberg was one of the great amateur demographers of our time, and he drew vivid portraits of the nation’s ever-changing population. In 1970, he and Richard Scammon wrote “The Real Majority,” a book that remains popular in political circles for its deep understanding of American political landscape. Wattenberg and Scammon were the first analysts to name a group on which election outcomes would turn.
In the American tradition, observance of the law as a supreme principle is two-pronged: it means that laws when made must not designate winners and losers, applying unequally to different persons or groups of society; it also means that all alike, those in elected office, enjoying positions of economic power, and the common laboring inhabitant, must follow the prescriptions of the law. […]