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Discussion: (6 comments)

  1. Jon Murphy


    Looking at chart 3, it appears the CIVPART has been declining overall since 2000. Could it be that the current trend is not a cause of the recession, but merely accelerated by the recession?

    1. Jon Murphy

      I mean, even if you look at the recovery of the 2000’s, the trend didn’t rise. It just flattened.

      1. Boomer retirement is causing part of the downward trend, but it has accelerated in the “recovery.” Jimmy P often addresses this effect in his analysis of the unemployment data – look for it Friday.

  2. Max Planck

    S&P Index Commentary: Stock Buybacks Surge In The Second Quarter

    On Sept. 20, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced that preliminary S&P 500 stock buybacks increased 32.6% to $111.7 billion during the second quarter, up from $84.3 billion in the first quarter (see table 1). The year-over-year gain was a modest 2.3%, as the index reversed the prior two quarters of reduced buybacks. Company buyback activity increased significantly during the second quarter. While the second quarter produced a 3.3% broad decline in the equity markets, companies used the second quarter to increase holdings, reduce share counts, and add support to their earnings per share
    during a quarter that set a record for operating profits.

  3. James F Burns

    Hi, this is the first time I have ever really had a chance to see a graph like this. What does the Consumer Prices (%oya) really mean when that number goes down? The prices go down because there isn’t any new inventory (according to your graph)? Why does it seem to say that prices could be lower? I realize that profit needs to be made somewhere. Shouldn’t the P in GDP be changed to profit just to give the impression that there isn’t really a recession when it looks more like inflation (or whatever the coined term is for today?) Please tell me how wrong I am!

  4. James F Burns

    All of those projected numbers just seem to say that the economy is going to be exactly what you say it is. So what point is there to be made regarding the US’s credit rating, savings bonds etc if you are seemingly pulling numbers out of thin air? Why should I trust the government at all if they are the ones who pre-determine the prices of goods and services? Thank you.

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