About AEI My AEI Support AEI Contact AEI
Home Events Books Short Publications Research Areas Scholars & Fellows


Search


FindAdvanced Search

Browse all short publications by:
- Date
- Subject
- Author
- Type
- Title

SHORT PUBLICATIONS
AEI Newsletter
AEI.org Exclusives
The American
Press Releases
Outlook Series
On the Issues
Papers and Studies
AEI Working Paper Series
Government Testimony
Speeches
Book Reviews
AEI Policy Series
The War on Terror

E-NEWSLETTERS
Enter e-mail:
 

Home >  Short Publications >  Obama Scores A's in Politics, Flunks Leader Test
Obama Scores A's in Politics, Flunks Leader Test
Print Mail
By Kevin A. Hassett
Posted: Monday, November 24, 2008
ARTICLES
Bloomberg.com  
Publication Date: November 24, 2008

President-elect Barack Obama's commitment to bailing out U.S. automakers casts doubt on his promise to renew bipartisanship. Despite strong political pressure from organized labor to sustain an unprofitable industry, lawmakers should allow the companies to restructure on their own in order to ensure the most efficient return to economic growth.

 
Senior Fellow
Kevin A. Hassett

 
A politician is a person who says one thing, does the opposite, and fails to acknowledge the contradiction. A leader is a person who does the right thing, no matter the consequences.

Every president must decide, on balance, which he will be.

When you look back at past presidents, the most successful ones, like Franklin Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan, often led regardless of the political risks.

Bailout proposals all have the effect of fueling this gravy train for the auto workers. It is difficult to see how anyone could claim that this serves social justice.

The less successful ones, like Richard Nixon and George W. Bush, operated without any clear compass and sailed with the political winds. Bush, for example, flip-flopped from tax-cutting conservative to prescription-drug peddler, all with an eye toward building a permanent majority. (He was right about the majority part, but he got the party wrong.)

Let's assume that most politicians want history to view them as leaders. As Barack Obama is already finding out, it isn't easy. We are already learning a good deal about his leadership style, and for those hungering for a post-partisan direction, his performance has been disappointing.

Take the proposed bailout of the U.S. auto manufacturers, a policy that has been tirelessly advocated by the president-elect and sadly seems to be gaining support from enough members of both parties to have a chance of passage.

Economics 101 suggests that the government shouldn't bail out the automakers. They are saddled with enormously high costs relative to the competition and have been unable to deliver a product that is attractive enough to earn big markups and make up the difference.

Creative Destruction

When the manufacturer of a product has trouble in the marketplace, it needs to change its product or its cost structure, and government intervention can only slow the adjustment process. The fastest and most efficient path to economic growth is through the reorganization that generally occurs in bankruptcy.

So what arguments might cause one to reject the Economics 101 answer? The first is that there will be a contagion if the U.S. automakers enter bankruptcy. They are too big to fail.

This analysis is indefensible. Firms operate in bankruptcy all the time. The airlines seem to do it as a matter of habit. Forcing the unions and automakers to make tough choices in bankruptcy court isn't the same as shutting down the factories. Factories usually continue to operate in such circumstances. And if a few plants are shut, it will allocate workers and resources toward more efficient uses. That is a plus, not a minus.

The Little Guy

The second argument in favor of the bailout is that it serves social justice. In this view, Washington politicians are here to fight for the little guy, and now is their chance. Those poor blue-collar workers in Detroit didn't have a voice in Washington, and now they do.

This argument is worse than the first. The U.S. automakers are hemorrhaging money, it's true, and a big reason they are doing so is they are shoveling it out the door to the workers.

Times are tough, and people all over the country have been losing their jobs. When an auto worker at one of the U.S. automakers who has worked at least 10 years loses his job, he gets a severance payment of $140,000. Most everybody else in the U.S. gets a minimal severance or nothing.

And those who don't lose their jobs are compensated richly. The average cost of an hour of United Auto Worker member work is about $73. The average cost for an hour of work for a Honda Motor Co. worker in the U.S. is about $43.

Higher Pay

Some of those higher costs are attributable to the great retirement benefits that are provided to UAW members, who on average have a retirement that is about twice as comfy as the typical senior relying upon Social Security.

Even excluding the rich benefits, a typical Chrysler assembly worker had an annual salary of $64,100 in 2006, compared with $49,568 for the average American household. Including benefits, the UAW worker is solidly encamped in the upper third of the income distribution.

Bailout proposals all have the effect of fueling this gravy train for the auto workers. It is difficult to see how anyone could claim that this serves social justice. If you take general revenue, which is collected from everyone in the U.S., and transfer it to high-salaried auto workers, then you aren't serving social justice; you are subverting it.

Why would anyone propose such a thing? It might be that the proponents of the bailout are just mistaken about the first point and believe that bankruptcy is death, that a systemic economic calamity will follow if the automakers enter Chapter 11. Or they might not have understood the distributional consequences of their actions.

Simple Explanation

But it seems unlikely that President-elect Obama, surrounded as he is with brilliant economists, could have missed this point. The auto bailout is political payback, pure and simple.

After all, the Center for Responsive Politics reports that organized labor contributed a sum of $58 million during the 2008 election cycle to both parties. Republicans picked up $4.85 million; Democrats got $53 million.

It is clear that unions provide an important political advantage, and rewarding them is good for the Democratic Party even if it isn't good for the whole.

It is great politics to bail out the automakers. Just don't mistake it for leadership.

Kevin A. Hassett is a senior fellow and the director of economic policy studies at AEI.

Related Links
Related article on the recession and government bailouts by Hassett
Related article on helping U.S. automakers by Martin Feldstein
Related article on bailing out U.S. automakers by Michael Barone
AEI Print Index No. 23706


Also by Kevin A. Hassett
Recent Articles
Obama's Billions Could Render Furnaces Obsolete
Minnesota's Recount Fiasco Needs New Solution
The Consumer Burden of a Cap-and-Trade System with Freely Allocated Permits
Latest Book
Toward Fundamental Tax Reform
AEI Newsletter

The January 2009 issue of AEI's newsletter covers President Bush's visit to AEI, the Mumbai terrorist attacks, pharmaceutical price regulation, and more.

  • January 2009 Newsletter
  • Past Issues

  • Receive Printed Copies of Publications and Support AEI
    Would you like us to mail you printed copies of publications in addition to your personalized My AEI e-mail updates? Consider enrolling in the AEI Associates Program with a tax-deductible contribution. As an associate, you will receive print versions of many AEI publications, including the AEI Newsletter, On the Issues articles, and The American.