Conventional wisdom suggests that a presidential candidate will receive a small boost following his party's national convention. These convention "bounces" have varied in size, from the tiny two-point jump for George W. Bush in Gallup's data from 2004 to the massive sixteen percentage point bounce for Bill Clinton in 1992. There are a few exceptions to the phenomenon: John Kerry's numbers declined after the 2004 Democratic convention. Convention bounces tend to be short-lived. . . .
AEI's Election Watch series returns in December 2007 for its fourteenth season, bringing together AEI's nationally renowned team of political analysts and other commentators. These sessions are essential for anyone who wants to understand the elections.
Public Opinion Snapshot - Who Will Win?
Regardless of who you support, and trying to be as objective as possible, who do you think will win the election in November . . . ? (October)
The Future of Red, Blue, and Purple America is a joint project of the American Enterprise Institute and Brookings Institution that focuses on the impact of demographic and geographic change on the 2008 elections and beyond. Selected papers from the upcoming Brookings Institution Press book and presentations as well as audio, video, and summary files from the conference held at AEI on February 28 are available here.
AEI and Brookings have launched the Election Reform Project. The program is a joint effort to monitor the implementation of the Help America Vote Act and to develop a bipartisan policy agenda for further improvements in the administration of elections.
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