Russia is facing a systemic crisis, and the only way out of it lies in dismantling the defining political, economic, and social features of Putinism.
Looking around Russia now, Putin's new critics see only the ruins of unfulfilled promises and wasted wealth.
Russia's population will find its access to food diminished by deep depreciation of the ruble, unemployment, and inflation.
Washington has offered to sacrifice a pawn for the queen.
Russia, the Ukraine, and the European Union all have work to do in finding a long-term solution to Europe's energy needs.
A historicalsurvey of Russian Orthodoxy suggests the danger of the church once again becoming an appendage of the Russian state.
The Obama administration's inclinationto show good will toward Russia must be balanced against firm support for that country's return to political and economic liberalization.
Vladimir Putin has harnessed patronage, nepotism, and cronyism to build Russia's corporatist state.
AEI Online
November 12, 2008
Russia's invasion of Georgia was far more than a singular emergency operation.
To understand Vladimir Putin, we must understand his view of Russian history.
The Kremlin will say there is a Russian minority to "protect" in Ukraine.
A new textbook approved by Vladimir Putin reimagines Russian history to the detriment of the nation's post-Soviet moral renaissance.
The choice to invade Georgia exposes the raw disdain for democracy that drives Moscow's authoritarian government.
Russia could soon face the same crises that Leonid Brezhenv's Soviet Union faced in the 1970s.
The ideology, priorities, and policies of Vladimir Putin's Kremlin are almost certain to inform and guide Dmitri Medvedev's administration.
AEI Online
January 16, 2008
Vladimir Putin has transformed Russian foreign policy both ideologically and politically since coming to power in 2000.
Let us refrain from the ritual, silly hand-wringing and accusations on the subject of "losing" Russia. Russia is not (and never has been) ours to lose.
Let us refrain from the ritual, silly hand-wringing and accusations on the subject of "losing" Russia. Russia is not (and never has been) ours to lose.
Glasnostwas an astounding act of the spiritual self-liberation of a great nation.
Islam has been a major and durable aspect of Russia's history, geography, and culture.
AEI Online
November 1, 2007
It is likely that Vladimir Putin will find a way to continue to serve as Russian president.
It is likely that Vladimir Putin will find a way to continue to serve as Russian president.
AEI Online
September 10, 2007
There was a great deal in 1990s Russia besides "chaos."
AEI Online
August 3, 2007
Was the revolution responsible for Russia’s economic woes in the 1990s?
What will be the outcome--and fallout--of the 2008 Russian presidential election?
The coming Russian presidential succession is far from a done deal.
Over all, Boris Yeltsin will be remembered as a great liberator.
What are we to make of Boris Yeltsin,the man who led post-Soviet Russia in its first nine years?
The chance for real democratic change in Russia is based in its history.
Leon Aron responds to a letter to the editor about his article "What Does Putin Want?" which appeared in the December 2006 issue of Commentary magazine.
AEI Online
January 18, 2007
The twentieth anniversary of the beginning of the Russian revolution is a fitting occasion to assess the true scale and the impact of the national spiritual liberation known as glasnost.
Moscow’s attachment to statist economic policy is undermining its bid for global energy dominance.
The death of Yuri Levada, the dean of Russian sociologists and pollsters, signifies the end of a remarkable era for Russia's intelligentsia.
Literary, social, and, in the end, political themes of Russian art have resonated with every generation of Russians.
Is Russia heading forward or backward under the leadership of President Vladimir Putin?
AEI Online
October 17, 2006
While the pressures of its political culture are strong, there is no reason why a formula offor democratization, a free economy, and humanism cannot work for Russia.
This path-breaking book for the first time seeks to explain the origins and the course of the latest Russian Revolution by placing it in the context of the great revolutions of the past.
The post-9/11 activist U.S. foreign policy cannot but be increasingly at odds with the Kremlin’s post-imperial “restoration.”
Russian and American values are so different that the two countries are drifting in different directions.
Are Washington and Russia growing apart? If so, what is causing the rift?
AEI Online
April 19, 2006
Several structural tendencies may significantly jeopardize Russia’s ability to meet the world’s rapidly growing demand for oil.
As we approach the fifteenth anniversary of the demise of the Soviet Union, its sudden collapse remains mysterious.
AEI Online
January 10, 2006
The Moscow City Duma election of December 2005 yields clues to national trends in voter attitudes and how the parties should strategize in advance of the 2007 national elections.
AEI Online
October 20, 2005
Forging a united opposition strong enough to contest the Kremlin's control over the Duma in 2007 and the presidency in 2008 is particularly urgent for the future of Russian democracy.
The Weekly Standard
September 26, 2005
Can a rejuvenated Republican party unify the liberal opposition to Putin?
Vladimir Putin's and his advisors' tendency toward greater state control and recentralization in politics, legal systems, federalism, and the economy is fraught with medium and short term risks.
The outcome of the struggle between the Russian state and the society for democratic control over the armed forces will go a long way to defining Russia's path for years to come.
President Vladimir Putin's government increasingly deviates from the democratic achievements of the 1990s in favor of greater re-centralization of politics and economy.
Review of Stalin: A Biography, by Robert Service, and Stalin and His Hangmen: The Tyrant and Those Who Killed for Him, by Donald Rayfield.
AEI Online
April 15, 2005
Either the Putin regime must evolve toward full-blown "classic" authoritarianism or there will a reaffirmation and renewal of the freedom of media, judicial independence, and separation of power and property.
Wall Street Journal
March 30, 2005
Leaders of former Soviet states may not be able to withstand the authoritarian temptation long enough for democracy to take firm root, but citizens will push forward until they live in freedom.
Vladimir Putin's re-centralization raised the center of political gravity to the very top at precisely the time when the Russian state will need every available ounce of stability and maneuverability.
This letter to the editor responds to letters commenting on Aron's original piece "Is Russia Going Backward?" from Commentary.
Newsday
November 30, 2004
If, as expected, the pro-Western Ukrainian presidenital candidate ultimately wins the election, he will need to pay careful attention to the Russian-leaning millions.
AEI Online
October 1, 2004
The decline of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation signals the waning appeal of a set of beliefs which commanded the loyalties of over one-third of the Russian electorate.
Severely handicapped by its past and with the backslidings and shortcomings of the present, Russia's epochal experiment in liberty, popular self-rule, and non-belligerency is far from over.
AEI Online
September 1, 2004
Wars have repeatedly had a decisive influence on Russia's political development, and the present global conflict against fundamentalist Islam is no exception.
Russia's pension privatization epitomizes both the enormous progress achieved over the past decade and the equally huge obstacles still ahead on the road to "civilized" liberal capitalism.
For Ronald Reagan, there was no "parity," nuclear or otherwise, between America and the Soviet Union. The former was superior for one and only one reason: its people were free.
Revolutionary breaks in Russia's political and economic arrangements will take zigzags from democratic breakthroughs to reactionary retrenchment to find a balance between old and new.
AEI Online
April 26, 2004
President Putin's reelection can be seen as the typical restoration after a period of revolution.
In the next four years, Russian policy toward the United States will be shaped largely by the components of a powerful and complicated social and political trend.
The National Interest
March 1, 2004
Will we look back at the popularity of Grigory Chkhartishvili'sFandorin cycle as a signal that post-Soviet Russia has given the latter at least a sporting chance?
AEI Online
January 1, 2004
In the recent Duma elections, Russian voters made what to them seemed like rational choices based on their immediate experiences and current political attitudes.
The Weekly Standard
November 10, 2003
The lessons of the Yukos affair.
New York Times
October 30, 2003
The interests of Russia's industrial leaders may not always coincide with society's, but by winning the right to promote those interests, the oligarchs can advance Russian democracy.
AEI Online
October 1, 2003
Despite assurances by the government that the action against Menatep and YUKOS is nothing more than a routine investigation, the choice of the prosecution belie such claims.
The process, politics, and importance of Russia's electricity privatization.
How U.S.-Russian relations will be affected by the war in Iraq.
New York Times
March 16, 2003
Review of Khrushchev: The Man and His Era by William Taubman.
AEI Online
February 1, 2003
A comparative and historical analysis of the crisis in Chechnya.
Post-Communist Russia's ten-year-old experiment in democracy, civil and political liberty, and a free market is not unlike the movement of a long, disorderly caravan.
AEI Online
September 23, 2002
Russian Outlook's twentieth anniversary issue describes common errors in interpretation and predictionto equip ourselves better for the next five years of the Russian revolution.
AEI Online
September 23, 2002
The velvet revolution's greatest impact was on the nature and pace of the economic reforms, some key aspects of which were molded by the industrial nomenklatura.
The most interesting phenomenon on Russia's literary scene today is the popularity of the Erast Fandorin mysteries by Grigoriy Shalvovich Chkhartishvili, who writes as Boris Akunin.
The New York Times
May 5, 2002
With another oil shock looming, the need to broaden the range of America's energy sources has become urgent.
Harper's Magazine
May 1, 2002
The shift to a more open Russian economy has given rise to a post-Communist middle class, which consists of the young, the college-educated, and the residents of large cities.
AEI Online
March 20, 2002
With the passage of a new Criminal-Procedural Code and related statutory reforms in December 2001, the long trek toward a true Russian Rechtsstaat—a lawful state—has achieved another milestone.
The Weekly Standard
March 11, 2002
BeforeSeptember 11, 2001, few would have predicted that Russia would back the United States so firmly in its response to the terrorist attacks.
AEI Online
January 1, 2002
The 9/11 crisis has provided a dramatic opportunity for manifestingthe gradual strategic shift in the country's domestic and foreign policy priorities.
AEI Online
October 1, 2001
Popular Russian novels as symbols of liberty and freedom.
AEI Online
August 1, 2001
Today’s struggling democracies must reconcile the conflicting goals of democracy and capitalism.
The Weekly Standard
July 16, 2001
The post-Cold War era has produced something new in world history: an abundance of poor democracies.
Privatization of Russian urban and agricultural landoccurred within a bare-bones and flawed democracy, often against well-organized popular opposition.
In 2001, Russia’s foreign debt suddenly became the focus of an intense and acrimonious debate.
The New York Times
March 24, 2001
Commentators used Mir's descent as a metaphor for Russia's fall, but the station's decommissioning is a sign ofRussia's liberation.
AEI Online
January 1, 2001
Neo-Kremlinology has contributed to Russian distortion by reducing the vastness and complexity of interacting causes to plots of palace intrigues and epic plays.
AEI Online
October 1, 2000
In the past nine years the Russian middle class has done well, but a great deal could be done to further facilitate this success.
Should he fail to seize the unique chance to reform the socio-economic policies of the Russia, Vladimir Putin might forever be known for what he failed to accomplish.
Russian president Vladimir Putin is pressing to reduce the autonomy of regional governments and to concentrate power in Moscow, an effortthatthreatens Russia’s democracy.
Putin has become Russia's chief executive without a well-considered strategic agenda and largely without a detailed policy mandate.
Russian Life
April 30, 2000
The dramatic impact of Yeltsin.
Washington Post
March 29, 2000
AEI Online
March 29, 2000
To bring stability to Russia, President Vladimir Putin can either expand state control over society or grant society partnership with the state.
International Herald Tribune
March 13, 2000
Aron reviews Robert Conquest'sReflections on a Ravaged Century.
Wall Street Journal
January 19, 2000
It's time to put the Chechnya conflict into the broader context of our long-term relations with Russia.
The Weekly Standard
January 17, 2000
At no time in the last eight years has the "de-Bolshevization of Russia"--which Boris Yeltsin embraced as his paramount goal in September 1991--seemed so secure.
Weekly Standard
January 3, 2000
The recent Russian elections show a strengthened democracy in that country.
AEI Online
January 1, 2000
The December 19 Russian parliamentary election has produced a remarkable shift to the Center-Right.
The Times
January 1, 2000
Biographer Leon Aron explains how President Yeltsin fought his way up in Russian society through a mixture of toughness and independence.
AEI Bradley Lecture
November 8, 1999
Yeltsin’s legacy--a distorted but functioning market economy, and a flawed but real multi-party democracy--appears impervious to the desperate thrashing about in the Kremlin.
AEI Online
October 4, 1999
Suddenly everyone is asking, Who lost Russia?
The Weekly Standard
October 4, 1999
The Times
August 15, 1999
Putin is Yeltsin's fifth prime minister ineighteen months, but lumping his appointment with the previous three changes in the government is misleading.
Hopes for a political truce were dashed by the Communist-initiated impeachment drive in the Duma and by Yeltsin’s dismissal of the Primakov cabinet in response to the legislature’s action.
Russian political landscape is changing almost daily as political actors maneuver in preparation for the parliamentary election and the battle for the presidency six months later.
Weekly Standard
October 19, 1998
Is there a usable free-market past somewhere under the debris from Russia's financial meltdown?
Sunday Times
September 6, 1998
The Communist Party's recipe for economic revival is simple: a rapid return to fixed prices and state control.
AEI Online
September 1, 1998
The devaluation of the ruble andthe default on the government’s domestic debt marked the end of Russia’s first post-Communist regime.
Newsday
September 1, 1998
The Russian Communist Party's rejection of compromise with the acting prime minister, Viktor Chernomyrdin,set thestage for an escalation of the Russian political and economic crisis.
Weekly Standard
August 31, 1998
The next few weeks promise to be as fateful an occasion as any in Russian history for the reformers to prove that they know whattodo.
Washington Post
June 12, 1998
Russia must implement radical reforms.
Without the vote of confidence of successful tax collection, Russian capitalism and democracy may be doomed.
An accord between Europe's largest (Russia) and its sixth most populous (Ukraine) nations is central to the stability of the post-Cold War European order.
Never has there been a Russia less imperialist, less militarized, less threatening to its neighbors and the world, and more susceptible to the Western ideals than the Russia we see today.
The Weekly Standard
April 20, 1998
Never has the modern Russian state been less imperialist, less militarized, less threatening to its neighbors and the world, and more receptive to Western ideals and practices than it is in 1998.
Boris Yeltsin's Monday dismissal of the Russian government may have obscured his possible intentions, which could be part of the last grand political game of Yeltsin's career.
AEI Online
January 1, 1998
Russian capitalism is real and increasingly robust.
San Diego Union-Tribune
June 23, 1996
In the political configuration that emerged from the poll, a solid Yeltsin win in the second round on July 3 seems assured--provided that the turnout is at least equal to that on June 16.
Commercial Appeal
June 16, 1996
Conventional wisdom in the Russian election today is largely doom and gloom.
Times Literary Supplement
January 26, 1996
Review of The Reincarnation of Russia, How Russia Became a Market Economy, and Privatizing Russia.
Washington Post
December 15, 1995
Washington Post
December 10, 1995
Newsday
November 14, 1995
Washington Post
May 7, 1995
If President Clinton, during his visit to Russia this week, were to confine himself solely to the official script, he would turn himself into a prop in a passion play enacted by the Kremlin.
National Interest
April 1, 1995
The internal condition of Russia has changed immensely for the better, and is continuing to change, though progress has not occurred as fast or as decisively as the Romantics had hoped.
The Record
January 8, 1995
As Russia winds down its first year under a post-Soviet constitution, the attention of the world is focused on the invasion of Chechnya, but it is only a symptom of an important development.
U.S. Institute of Peace Press
November 1, 1994
Washington Post
August 14, 1994
For the fourth year in a row, Russia is poised for an autumn that is likely to determine the course of its politics, not just for the balance of 1994 but for most of 1995 as well.
Surprise victory of the populist nationalist Vladimir Zhirinovsky's Liberal Democratic Party emerged as the most important result after the adoption of the constitution.
Newsday
December 15, 1993
Newsday
September 23, 1993
Washington Post
August 22, 1993
Russia's involvement in the messy, bloody, and apparently endless conflict on its southern border may break the back of Russia's fledgling democracy.