Help That Helps

A new business model for foreign aid is the main hope--perhaps the only hope--for fixing a broken system.

Too Sick to Prosper

If we only had vital statistics to go by, we might easily believe Russia is a country trapped in a prolonged and devastating war against health.

A New Plan for Pyongyang

As Presidents Barack Obama and Lee Myung-bak prepare for their first official summit next week, the North Korean nuclear crisis is surely at the top of their agenda.

Pyongyang Has a Strategy--Do We?

We must recognize North Korea for what it is, instead of what we want it to be.

Russia's Demographic Disaster

Russia's current depopulation has been underway far longer than any previous population drop in Russian memory. It is not clear how this one is to be arrested or reversed.

Kim's Crumbling Dynasty

Kim Jong Il's search for a successor could turn out to be bigger news than this weekend's missile launch.

Drunken Nation: Russia's Depopulation Bomb

Since 1992, Russia's human numbers have been progressively dwindling.

Poor Statistics

Washington lacks the statistical tools to assess--and thus address efficiently--the coming surge in need.

Curbing the Myth of Overpopulation to Fight Poverty

Obama must put pressure on the United Nations Population Fund to concentrate on the health of women and babies and to stop wasting money on wrongheaded population-control schemes.

What Went Wrong?

The Bush administration's policyfailed inNorth Korea.

Obama and Asia

The new president cannot afford to ignore Asia.

Prepare to Deal with Discontinuities

The Poverty of the Official Poverty Rate

Little has changed in the way the federal government measures poverty since 1965.

Foreign Aid: What Works and What Doesn't

U.S. foreign aid needs a new business model that fits the realities of today's global economic picture.

Rising Ambitions, Sinking Population

Russia's economic ambitions are at odds with its population trend.

The Poverty of the Official Poverty Rate

Little has changed in the way the federal government measures poverty since 1965.

The World Shouldn't Fear the Collapse of North Korea

Is the stability of an internationally criminal, cruelly dictatorial, nuclear-weapons-equipped North Korea really somethingthatshould valued above all conceivable alternatives?

Should Sex-Selective Abortions Be Outlawed?

Sex-selective abortion is changing the demographics of entire countries; a moral campaign must be waged against it.

Failures of Inter-Korean Economic Cooperation

South Korea'sdecade-longexperiment in economic diplomacy with North Korea has proved to be a failure.

Aging Gracefully

Europe can solve its demographic crisis by unlocking the value of health.

Dying Russia

Alarming demographic and healthtrends make it difficult for Russia to propel much-needed economic growth and development.

What If?

With the U.S.-ROK alliance in question, the United States must assert its military posture, maintain relations with Japan, defend sea lines of communication, and maintain a role in Asia.

A Chance to Rein In North Korea

The December 2007 presidential election in South Korea presages a sea change in that key U.S. ally's policies toward North Korea.

A Diplomatic Charade

Unseemly talks with Kim Jong II pose a security threat to theUnited States and itsallies.

A Chance to Rein In North Korea

Last week's presidential election in South Korea presages a sea change in that key U.S. ally's policies toward North Korea.

A World without the U.S.-ROK Alliance: Thinking about "Alternative Futures"

With the U.S.-ROK Alliance in question, the United States must assert its military posture, maintain relations with Japan, defend sea lines of communication, and maintain a role in Asia.

Toward an America-Free Korea

The termination of the U.S.-South Korean alliance would prove harmful to South Korea.

China's Future and Its One-Child Policy

China would do well to abolish its disastrous "One-Child Policy."

China's One-Child Mistake

With a shrinking working-age population,there will be no one left totake care of the country's retirees.

China's One-Child Mistake

With a shrinking working-age population, who will take care of the country's retirees?

Russia's Demographic "X Factor"

Washington Profile, the only Russian-language information agency based in Washington, D.C., interviews Nicholas Eberstadt about Russia's demographic decline, heath-care problems, and plans to increase birth rate.

Too Many People?

There is no clear evidence to support the trendy fearthat global population increases are out of control and need to be "stabilized."

Beware the Population Alarmists

A new UN report wrongly urges governments to curb supposed overpopulation problems.

America the Fertile

America is exceptional for many reasons; among them, childbearing patterns and immigration absorption.

Demographic Trends in Northeast Asia

How drastically will demographic trends affect Asia in the coming decades?

Healthy Old Europe

AlthoughEurope's population is aging, the continent need not become a glorious rest home or a genteel but fading open-air museum. There is another way.

Healthy Old Europe

What will be the effect of Western Europe's declining birthrate on population?

Die Gesundheit ist Europas Trumpfkarte

Europa droht wirtschaftlich zunehmend gegenüber den USA zurückzufallen, auch aus demografischen Gründen.

Save the Russians!

Citizens of the former superpower are dying in catastrophic numbers. For very little, we could prove they have not been forgotten.

Born in the USA

If the American moment passes, or U.S. power in other ways declines, it will notbe because of demography.

Healthy Old Europe

Western Europe isin a demographic declinedue to low birthrates and an ever aging population.

Deja Vu

The six-party agreement in Beijing on North Korea's nuclear programs was a strategic blunder masquerading as a diplomatic triumph.

Saving North Korea's Refugees

How would an underground railroad help North Korea and its citizens?

Demographic Exceptionalism in the United States

Since before the revolution, America has considered itself exceptional.

Kim Jong Il's Nuclear Ambitions

What is the world’s most worrisome and destabilizing nuclear-proliferation hotspot these days?

Statement by Nicholas Eberstadt to the House Committee on Ways and Means

Does the U.S. poverty rate accurately describe trends and patterns in the condition that most Americans would think of as poverty?

Critical Cross-Cutting Issues Facing Northeast Asia

Over the coming generation it is entirely likely that demographic trends are going to change the Asia-Pacific region in unprecedented and absolutely revolutionary ways

The Global War against Baby Girls

Weare witnessing the consequences of the fateful collisionofson preference, prenatal sex determination technology for gender-based abortion, and declining fertility levels.

Reflections on "The Health Crisis in the USSR"

Aquarter century has passed since the publication of "The Health Crisis in the USSR."

Global Demographic Outlook to 2025

Was the last century's "population explosion" driven by a reduction in morality?

Haiti: the Time Bomb in Our Backyard

Haiti will be lost without an inspired global effort that goes far beyond the traditional pathways of better education and agriculture.

Haiti in Extremis

Until Haiti can begin to look beyond its past to its culture of survival, it will be unable to achieve the modernity its people deserve.

Haiti in Extremis

What do we come home learning from a brief fact-finding sojourn to Haiti? In a sentence: Security comes first.

Pyongyang Phooey

With Pyongyang's announcement to "conduct a nuclear test" to "bolster its war deterrent for self-defense," the world has been given yet another reminder of the North Korean game plan.

Why Poverty Doesn't Rate

America's poverty rates don't accurately measure poverty today.

Why Poverty Doesn't Rate

Without a clearer sense of where we stand, how we got here and where we are headed, most initiatives aimed at reducing poverty in the United States will be needlessly ineffective.

The Mismeasure of Poverty

America’s most relied-upon metric for charting a course in our national effort to reduce and eliminate poverty appears to offer unreliable, and indeed increasingly misleading, soundings on where we are today, where we have come, and where we seem to be headed.

Economic Implications of a Fundamental Shift in North Korean Security Policy

While many parts of the world have joined in the profound international integration that has occurred in the postwar era, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea has maintained a distinctly bellicose and autarkic international posture since its founding in 1948.

The Changing Demographics of the U.S. Southern Security Perimeter

This paper attempts to use available demographic data to cast light on trends indicative of, or potentially supportive of, an accretion of security threats from "the U.S. southern security perimeter."

Nuclear Shakedown

Further Bush administration weakness in the face of North Korea's actions could seriously damage U.S. security arrangements in the Korean peninsula and throughout Asia.

Nuclear Shakedown

North Korea's missile launch reveals that theKimg Jong Iland his inner circle are ready to ratchet up their confrontation with "the imperialists" to a new and still more dangerous level.

Growing Old the Hard Way

Rapid and pronounced population aging represents a highly uneven, largely unappreciated, and as yet almost entirely undiscounted long-term risk for the world's emerging markets.

Regional Economic Implications of DPRK Security Behavior: The "Bold Switchover Concept"

North Korea's neighbors have suffered broader economic costs, and lost economic opportunities, as a direct consequence of Pyongyang’s security policies and practices.

Global Population Trends

What are the major strategic trends in global population?

Doom and Demography

For decades, the world has been haunted by ominous and recurrent reports of impending demographic doom.

Doom and Demography

P. T. Bauer on the Population Question

I first met Peter Bauer in October 1977. At the time I was 21, and very Left.

More Than Humanitarianism: A Strategic U.S. Approach toward Africa

The economic tragedy that is post-colonial African history, indeed, arguably constitutes the twentieth century’s single greatest developmental failure.

Old Age Tsunami

Will the aging of the Third World have unanticipated spillover effects for the world economy? The answer is not yet clear--but it is none too early to begin asking the question.

North Korea Triumphs Again in Diplomacy

North Korea's latest agreement on denuclearization will allow its government to continue workign on nuclear weapons and to isolate South Korea.

A Skeptical View

The latestjoint statement affirms all of the "rewards-for-freeze" precepts that helped to finance the survival of the North Korean state--and the development of nuclear weaponry--in the earlier 1994 accord.

Broken Yardstick

For nowwe should recognize that America has already achieved far more success in the war against want than our sorry poverty rate can admit.

White Families Are in Trouble, Too

Clearly, the crisis of the family is not just a "black thing." In practically all of today's rich, free societies, the family is in trouble.

The Northern America Fertility Divide

If the North American fertility divergence continues, it may become an example of how countries can converge at the macroeconomic level while diverging at the micro level.

A Charade Masquerading as Diplomacy

The six-party talks are no way to convince North Korea to give up its nukes.

Bring Them Home

The South Korean government seems indifferent to the plight of the tens of thousands of North Koreans who have escaped the Kim Jong Il regime.

Baseless and Inflammatory Innuendo

Response to aKorea Timesstory that misrepresentsEberstadt's views on North Korea.

Fatal Denial

Unchecked, HIV and AIDS will continue to spread through Islamic countries. No longer a matter of humanitarian assistance, the pandemicis nowan importantglobal security issue.

The Muslim Face of AIDS

Leaders in Muslim countries who have denied AIDS must acknowledge the threat or risk losing their community of believers to a global plague.

Health and Demography

This presentationwas delivered at the“Advancing Economic Growth: Investing in Health” conference at the Chatham House in London,June 22-23, 2005.

North Korea's Weapons Quest

For America and its allies, the costs and dangers of failing to make the world safe from North Korea are incalculably higher and more expensive than confronting Kim Jong-il's regime.

Behind the Veil of a Public Health Crisis

The newest phase of the global AIDS pandemic is the unfolding of the contagion across the great Islamic expanse.

Bring Them Home

South Korea has become the home of freedom in the peninsula. Now the task is to extend that freedom to the North.

A Union of Certain Age

The greatest demographic challenge facing Europe today is not population decline, but the unfinished task of making loyal Europeans out of all its immigrants.

Rethinking the Population Problem

Much of the anti-natal and neo-Malthusian literature reveals an appalling ignorance about real human beings--especially poor ones.

Economic Implications of a "Bold Switchover" in DPRK Security Policy

This essay examines the potentialities for a still-socialist DPRK economic policy, international financial assistance, and North Korean economic performance.

Pyongyang's Option: "Ordinary" Stalinism

There may be considerably more scope for applying pressure to Pyongyang today than many appreciate becausePyongyang has viablealternatives to its current economic course.

Indicators of Deprivation and Wellbeing in Modern America

This presentation covers the poverty rate as a predictor of socioeconomic progress and household consumption.

What Surprise?

Kim Jong Il is doing his best to make the world safe for the DPRK. Our task, by contrast, is to make the world safe from the DPRK. This will be a difficult, expensive, and dangerous undertaking.

Kim Jong Il's Nuclear Winter

The United States and its allies have exacerbated the danger that North Korea poses to international security by failing to sanction Pyongyang meaningfully.

North Korea’s WMD Program

The North Korean government did not opt to join the world’s nuclear weapons club suddenly, on a bizarre and inexplicable whim. To the contrary: last week’s announcement represents the predictable culmination of decades of methodical progress on a multifaceted program of weapons of mass destruction.

North Korea's WMD Program

Last week's announcement represents the predictable culmination of decades of progress on a multifaceted program of weapons of mass destruction.

Kim's Nuclear Winter

The ever more menacing North Korean nuclear program has in practice encountered only token resistance from the United States and others.

A New International Engagement Framework for North Korea?

Can the economic system of the Democractic People's Republic of Korea be successfully reformed?

Russia, the Sick Man of Europe

The Russian Federation today is in the grip of a steadily tightening mesh of serious demographic problems, for which the term "crisis" is no overstatement.

Tear Down This Tyranny

The United States must develop a new approach to the North Korean nuclear crisis, sincewe will not likely talk North Korea out of its nuclear weapons program.

No More Mr. Nice Guy

Emboldened by his reelection, President George W. Bush will turn up the heat on North Korea.

Tear Down This Tyranny

If North Korea's threat to America is greater four years from now than today, that will be a George W. Bush administration legacy.

U.S. Northeast Asia Policy in a Second George W. Bush Administration

The North Korean regime will not be “talked” out of its nuclear weapons program.

Some Strategic Implications of Asian/Eurasian Demographic Trends

How do human numbers affect the capability of governments to influence events beyond their borders or affect the disposition of a country's interactions with outside actors?

Population Power

One of the biggest challenges for European security and stability lies in assimilating immigrants into European societies.

The Persistence of North Korea

Can North Korea survive--as a distinct regime, an autonomous state, a specific political-economic system, and a sovereign country?

Fewer

Over the foreseeable future, population replacement will be taking place--although not in the sense that demographers typically assign to the term.

Russia Doomed to Be the Sick Man of Europe

Russia has little chance of narrowing the income gap with theEuropean Unionunless it also closes the yawning health gap that separates Russians from the rest of Europe.

Health, Inequality, and the Scholars

A number of influential recent studies purport to show that inequality in income--not poverty per se--has detrimental health consequences.

Russia's Demographic Straitjacket

Russia is at the brink of a steep demographic decline--a peacetime population hemorrhage framed by a collapse of the birth rate and a catastrophic surge in the death rate.

Alternative Scenarios for the Korean Peninsula

The author discusses energy security, proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, and science and technology in Asia, as well as alternative outcomes to the North Korean nuclear crisis.

The Russian Federation at the Dawn of the Twenty-first Century

The Russian Federation today faces the unprecedented dual challenge of simultaneously reversing the plummeting birth rates and skyrocketing mortality rates of the 1990s.

The North Korean Nightmare

The most recent nuclear crisis with North Korea raises further questions about its leaders' ability to manage crises.

Four Surprises in Global Demography

Sub-replacement fertility rates are becoming the global norm with the exception of the United States.

Too Sick to Grow and Prosper

Russia has little chance of narrowing the income gap with the European Unionunless it also closes the yawning health gap that separates Russians from the rest of Europe.

Demographics and Population Movements in the Russian Far East

This speechexamines population movement, mortality rates, and life expectancy in Russia.

Demographics and Population Movements in the Russian Far East

The author examines population movement, mortality rates, and life expectancy in Russia.

Second Thoughts about Africa's Demographic Prospects

The author addresses health concerns in Africa and the effects of disease on demographic trends.

North Korea and Iraq

Although no weapons of mass destruction have been found inside Iraq’s borders,we mustask whether the war is having a positive or negative impact on the worldwide spread of these arms.

Four Surprises in Global Demography

Whileotherdeveloped areas gradually drop off the roster of the world's major population centers, the United States actually rises, from fourth largest in 1950 to third largest in 2000.

Challenges to the Goal of Global Health Equality

Research and development promises the potential for recasting the cost-benefit calculus for HIV/AIDS treatment for low-income populations.

The Dangers of Self-Delusion

Appeasement failed with Adolf Hitler, and it will not work with North Korea's Kim Jong Il.

China's Unmarriageable Men

China will be the first great power in Asia to suffer from atwenty-first century "bride shortage."

Bleak Prospects for China's Aging Population

Difficulties facing China's aging population include a lack of a national pension system and limited familial resources.

The North Korean Nuclear Crisis

Foreign Aid Effectiveness and Selectivity

The author examines climate data, income, and economic indicators to determine if foreign aid produces desired results.

The Political Economy of World Mass Migration

The author introduces Jeffrey G. Williamson of Harvard University, who researches political economy and world mass migration.

P. T. Bauer on the "Population Question"

The author discussesPeter Tamas Bauer's assessment of the "population problem" and his contributions to the field of development economics.

The Population Implosion

The author reviews The Empty Cradle by Phillip Longman.

China's "Triple Bind"

The author examines future economic problems in China, includingthe AIDS crisisand the growing shortage of females.

Don't Believe North Korea's Economic Reforms

North Korea has not even begun to tinker with the macro policies, or promote the micro institutions, that would permit a China- or Vietnam-style export response.

A Republic--if South Koreans Can Keep It

With the recent vote to impeach President Roh Mu Hyun on dubious grounds, South Korean democracy once again seems imperiled.

Democracy's Demons

South Korea's impeachment crisis exposes the sordid opportunism of its politics.

If You Can Keep It . . .

South Korea's current travails with President Roh Roh Mu Hyun will reinforce North Korea's appetite for an unconditional Korean reunification--on the North's terms.

A New Twenty Years' Crisis?

There is no coalescence around a strategy for North Korea, in the United States or among its partners in Northeast Asia. The situation is tilting by the day in an incalculable direction.

Missing Girls Bode Ill for China in Future Decades

How can we use population indicators to anticipate, with some reasonable hope of accuracy, the impact of yet-unfolding demographic forces on the balance of international power?

The Emptying of Russia

Population trends and demographic characteristics in Russia today are severely--and adversely--altering the realm of the possible for that country and its people.

La Grande Illusion, Korean Style

The notion that the Kim regime has absolutely no intention of ever giving up its nuclear capability--at any price, for any reason--is too terrible to face.

North Korea's Survival Game

Can the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea survive--as a distinct regime, an autonomous state, a specific political-economic system, and a sovereign country?

Towards a Peaceful Resolution with North Korea

There can be neither a settlement onWMDs nor demobilization of theNorth Koreanmilitary until and unlessNorth Koreanormalizes relations with South Korea.

Power and Population in Asia

How can we use population indicators to anticipate, with some reasonable hope of accuracy, the impact of yet-unfolding demographic forces on the balance of international power?

The Emptying of Russia

Russian political leaders have focused on trying to increase birth rates, but urgency must be applied to diminish mortality rates and to respond to health threats, including HIV/AIDS.

Atomic Shakedown

Pyongyang's promise to disarm is just a cunning financial ploy.

Population, Public Health, and Globalization

Life is full of surprises for specialists in population studies because the predictive powers of demography and population science are somewhat limited.

The Shakedown State

Hopes are still high that North Korea can eventually be talked into trading away, or selling off, its nuclear program. North Korea's money flows cast a somber light on that prospect.

Diplomatic Fantasyland

Progress toward a diplomatic resolution of the nuclear impasse cannot be expected without fundamental changes in outlook and policy on the part of Pyongyang's leadership.

A Deal with North Korea? Dream On

North Korea is entirely unlikely to be talked out of its nuclear weapons program.

Corruption in North Korea's Economy

Nicholas Eberstadt's July 31, 2003, testimony before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.

Graphs for July 31, 2003 Testimony

These graphs were presented at the hearing.

AIDS

A look at China's economy suggests that the country is particularly vulnerable to HIVAIDS and other epidemic illnesses.

Drugs, Counterfeiting, and Weapons Proliferation

DPRK involvement in illicit activities, far from being an aberration, is instead part and parcel of its basic approach to diplomacy and economic policy.

Reckless Driving

Kim Jong Il's erratic moves strengthen the hawks' case for regime change.

North and South Korean Economic Ventures

If North Korea Were Really Reforming, How Could We Tell--and What Would We Be Able to See?

War Games

Kim Jong Il's capacity to stir up trouble will be instantly revitalized if the U.S. goes to war with Iraq.

The Future of AIDS in Russia, China, and India

Nicholas Eberstadt's March 3, 2002, Powerpoint presentation at Duke University.

A Turn of the Screw

Because North Korea is uniquely dependent on foreign aid and illicit trade, under American leadership, Northeast Asia's powers can effectively squeeze Kim Jong Il's regime economically.

A Turn of the Screw

How do you nix Kim Jong Il's atomic ambition? Squeeze him economically.

Bracing for AIDS Crisis in Eurasia

The Bush administration would be well advised to devote more of its anti-AIDS energies into rousing these three governments to embrace HIV strategies of their own.

Evil, Yes. Genius, No.

North Korean leader Kim Jong Il's ineptitude as a leader is what makes the present crisis withthat countryso scary.

Evil, Yes. Genius, No.

Kim Jong Il, for his part, is alive and well but prone to egregious lapses of judgment, especially in a crunch.

Lots of Possibilities, None Good

From Helsinki to Pyongyang

Population Aspects of Communist Countries

Just before 1989-91, over a third of humanity lived under communist regimes,representing a variety of cultures, ethnicities, levels of material attainment, and demographic structures.

Epidemic Disease

Population Aspects of Communism

Seoul on Ice

So long as the government in Seoul stakes its reputation on lessening the North Korean threat--and insists on having made signal strides in doing so--the South Korean public will rightly wonder what exactly U.S. troops are still doing in their country.

The Threat from North Korea

Pyongyang sees itself as a state engaged in an international zero-sum martial-mercantile contest: Pyongyang must in this view either give or receive tribute.

The AIDS Pandemic Draws a Bead on Eurasia

HIV/AIDS pandemic in Eurasia is primed to do the most damage.

The Future of AIDS

In the decades ahead, the center of the global HIV/AIDS pandemic is set to shift from Africa to Eurasia.

The AIDS Pandemic Draws a Bead on Eurasia

The enormous number of people infected with HIV in Russia, China, and India is poised to grow even larger, thus altering the economic potential and military power of Eurasia's largest states.

Projecting HIV in Eurasia

Detailed results for the article "The Future of AIDS" in Foreign Affairs.

North Korea's Nuclear News

The Bush administration has been given the opportunity to recast its policy toward North Korea, a policy that is no longer beholden to an agreement struck nearly a decade ago, and whose efficacy had been in question for several years now.

Humanity, Peace, and Security

Will the DPRK move towards a more economically pragmatic and economically successful future?

Our Other Korea Problem

The Mutual Defense Treaty cannot count on the continued support from both the South Korean and American publics that is necessary to sustain it.

Population Sense and Nonsense

On the crucial issue of understanding world population trends, the U.S. government, the United Nations, European bureaucrats, and Third World elites agree more than they disagree.

Population Sense and Nonsense

Demographics experts have failed to note the falling prices of natural resources and the health explosion that has led to a huge expansion of human capital.

Revisiting Life of Scholar Who Shaped How We Think about Global Bounty

Julian L. Simon began to force a fundamental rethinking of the deeply ingrained Malthusian pessimism about world population, global resources, and the geo-environment.

If North Korea Were Really Reforming, How Could We Tell?

The Poverty Rate

Due to fundamental defects in the method by which the U.S. poverty rate is calculated, it is difficult to accurately assess living standards at any point in time and long term trends.

A Misleading Measure of Poverty

Bush, Abortion, and Foreign Aid

In contemporary political debate, there is no surer way to discredit and delegitimize a policy than to establish that it injures women and children.

American Security Relations with Northeast Asia after 9-11

As the war against terror began to unfold, South Korea and the United States appeared to be working at cross-purposes, and as the campaign progressed, these signs of divergence became gradually more evident.

Korea

In part, today's relative calm can be explained by the character and tenor of relations among the great Pacific powers in the Korean peninsula and beyond it.

Beyond Malthus

Fanatics & Fertility

Letter on The Population Implosion

An Open Letter to the President

Our Own Style of Statistics

Population Myths & Realities

Fertility is going down because we don’t know the future of human fertility.

Mexico City Policy

Addressing the question of the health and mortality impact of the restrictions on U.S. international population assistance known as the “Mexico City policy”.

Regarding The Population Implosion

The Next Hot Spot

Developments in the Korean peninsula present Washington with opportunities, but such contingencies require long-range thinking by policy-makers.

The Myth of Overpopulation

The Malthusian calculus does not consign our species to brutish subsistence, because our species can expand its resource base and temper its immediate environment.

World Population in the 21st Century

World Population Prospects

Population projections from the United Nations suggest that many countries face a decline in population and an unprecedented "aging explosion."

The New Trend

Global population growth will decelerate markedly over the coming generation.

The American Exception

The Population Implosion

After decades of struggling to contain the global population explosion, the world confronts rapidly decreasing birthrates and declining life spans.

Korean Security

The George W. Bush administration would do well to construct more realistic, less romantic, policies toward North Korea than its predecessor.

DPRK

Prospects for Inter-Korean Economic Cooperation in the Sunshine Era

Disparities in Socioeconomic Development in Divided Korea

Economic Recovery in the DPRK

Pursuit of Prosperity South of the Sahara

Over the past generation sub-Saharan Africahas suffered prolonged and virtually continentwide economic failure, marked by pervasive economic retrogression and even reversals in social development.

What's North Korea Up To?

Although North Korea is establishing or reviving diplomatic relations with a number of other countries, including South Korea, the West should continue to approach North Korea warily.

What's North Korea Up To?

The Old North

For the stability of Northeast Asia, it is imperative for governments to move from the intellectual sand trap from which a Korean peninsula without the DPRK cannot be seen.

China Trade-Off?

Pyongyang a Seoul Searching Mission

Korea'sDMZ is the most dangerous flashpoint on earth.

The Problem Isn't Overpopulation and the Future May Be Depopulation

Last One Out Turn off the Lights

China's Population Prospects

U.S.-North Korea Economic Relations

Chapter 6 in The U.S. and the Two Koreas: A New Triangle, edited by Tong Whan Park.

The Complexities of Growth

Six Billion Reasons to Cheer

Six Billion Reasons to Cheer

The development and the remarkable advances that made world population six billion possible should be viewed as a triumph.

The Road from Berlin

Reports that American and North Korean negotiators have emerged from six days of missile talks in Berlin with a "breakthrough" accord are being greeted today with relief and elation.

The Most Dangerous Country

Throughout its tenure, the DPRK has demonstrated its continuing capacity to surprise, usually in unpleasant ways.

Global Population Might Peak

Russia

For Russia and its people, the nightmare of Soviet totalitarianism has come to an end, only to be followed by a phenomenon much more familiar in Russian history: a “time of troubles.”

U.S. Aid Feeds North Korea's Nuclear Designs

North Koreans describe the deliberations between the two states more honestly than the Americans do.

U.S. Aid Feeds North Korea's Nuclear Designs

Although Clinton administration hope that the deal will keep the North Korean nuclear program in check, the deal is more likely to help sustain and advance the program.

Mis-Planned Parenthood

China's demographic patterns will be driven by long life expectancy andlowfertility.

The Dangerous Korea

The communist regime in North Korea will be a menace to its neighbors and to the United States--as well as to the population it rules--as long as it exists.

The Dangerous Korea

The essence of the “North Korean crisis” is in fact the North Korean regime: its outlook, behavior, and intentions.

South Korea's Economic Crisis and the Prospects for North-South Relations

Divided Korea's Financial Ties Unite

South Korea's crisis of international liquidity have altered not only the economic but also the political landscape of the Korean peninsula, making possible a new direction for North-South interactions.

Population Prospects for Eastern Asia to 2015

The World Population Crisis

North Korean Economic Conditions and Prospects

Asia Tomorrow, Gray and Male

Demography and International Relations

Demography plays a vital role in international relations.

The Magicians of Kyoto

Response to Letter Regarding "Trick and Mistreat"

Rationality and Global Environmentalism

International data on health and mortality today point to the emergence of very serious “micro-environmental problems” in different regions of the world.

Prospects for U.S.-DPRK Economic Relations

The DPRK As an Economy Under Multiple Severe Stresses

Trick and Mistreat

Unicef’s medical obtusenessis a cruel manifestation of bureaucratic inefficiency, a product of blinding ideology, a simple human tragedy, or some combination of the three.

Long Division

Review of The Two Koreas, by Don Oberdorfer.

World Population Implosion?

One set of projections by the United Nations of current demographic trends suggests that the world's population may peak in the middle of the next century and then steadily decline.

U.N. Development Disasters

Have U.N. development efforts really accomplished their aims?

World Population Implosion?

Daniel Patrick Moynihan, Epidemiologist

Review essay on Moynihan's Miles to Go.

Aid Harms the Hungry

Review of The Road to Hell: The Ravaging Effects of Foreign Aid and International Charity, by Michael Maren.

Hastening Korean Reunification

Hastening Korean Reunification

United States should take the lead in anticipating and expediting the return of a united Korea.

The Great Leap Backward

Review of Hungry Ghosts by Jasper Becker.

North Korea as an Economy under Multiple Severe Stresses

Starved for Ideas

Efforts to combat hunger are retarded by three misconceptions: exaggerating the problem andoverstating the threat posed by population growth..

Starved for Ideas

Why do we live in a world in which millions upon millions of children and adults suffer from the scourges of extreme hunger and malnutrition?

Development Assistance and Economic Freedom

A more effective development assistance policy would promote economic freedom--both as a good unto itself and as a stimulus to prosperity.

Development Assistance and Economic Freedom

Korean Unification on Trial

North Korea's Reunification Policy

The Great Chain Letter

Review of The Return of Thrift by Phillip Longman.

Foreign Aid Is beyond Repair

Assessing National Strategy in North and South Korea

Down the Rat Hole

Until American “development assistance” policies can assist in development, AID officials had best get used to revising their “ranking” within the “donor community” downward.

The Politics of Overpromise

Review of The Good Life and Its Discontents by Robert Samuelson.

North Korea's Pachinko Woes

Financial Transfers from Japan to North Korea

A Poor Measurement

Although it was not even calculated until the 1960s, the “poverty rate” is now one of America’s most familiar--and politically significant--statistical indicators.

Missing Truth on IMF

More than most peoples, Russians are familiar with the phenomenon of the state-sponsored lie.

Birds, Bees, and Budget Cuts

For advocates of Third World population control--or as they now prefer to say, “stabilizing world population”--the resort to scare tactics in debates and policy battles, is nothing new.

The Modern-Day Paradox of Poverty

The Modern-Day Paradox of Poverty

Despite tremendous material advances and a vast augmentation of national wealth since the 1920s, America's social problems are far more acute in the 1990s than they were during the Great Depression.

Prosperous Paupers and Affluent Savages

My assignment is to discuss the problems of poverty and poverty alleviation in the modern United States.

War Analyst Shows Himself out of Touch in Ideas, Facts

Review of The War against the Poor: The Underclass and Antipoverty Policy by Herbert Gans.

The Soviet Way of Death

Review of Naitre, Vivre et Mourir en URSS, 1917-1991 by Alain Blum.

Privatize the World Bank

It is time for the World Bank to begin an orderly transition to private ownership.

Privatizing the World Bank

Population and Development and Population Policy

Review of Population and Development and Population Policy.

What Is Population Policy?

Just what is “population policy”?

U.N. Summit Follies

How does one explain the upcoming U.N. World Conference on Women in Beijing--a capital that has championed coercive abortions, and revived female infanticide?

The Truth about Korea's Economic Miracle

Review of Troubled Tiger by Mark Clifford.

What You Won't Hear at Cairo

The Five Great Myths That Thwart the Experts' Arithmetic

The draft Programme of Action calls for a quadrupling of international aid money for population policies over the next six years. Governments will be wasting their time and our money.

Solution for Pyongyang's Nukes

The Colossal Failure of U.S. Policy toward North Korea

There can be no doubt that the United States will defend South Korea against naked aggression, no matter who our president is. North Korea, however, has miscalculated about this before.

Demographic Disaster

Washington as Infant Mortality Capital

I am pleased to hear, at last, an official response from the D.C. government to my series on our city’s infant mortality problem.

Demographic Shocks in Eastern Germany, 1989-1993

Trial after Triumph and Korea in the 1990s

Review of Trial after Triumph and Korea in the 1990s.

Can Eastern Europe Cope with Demographic Calamity?

Statistics from official agencies not just in Russia but in Eastern Europe paint a portrait of a vast and diverse region seized by a common convulsion.

Marx and Mortality

Why Babies Die in D.C.

Impersonal social forces cannot explain why one of the very richest black populations in America suffers from black America’s very worst infant mortality rates.

Parents and the District's Endangered Children

The District of Columbia may thus offer a glimpse of the sorts of infant health problems that the nation as a whole will know in the years to come.

In the District, Children without a Chance

The District of Columbia is also the “infant mortality capital of America”--the population center in which a baby is most likely to die during his or her first year of life.

Population Policy

Reminder for Seoul

Pacific Rim Challenges Are More Political than Economic

President Clinton’s trip to Seattle later this week is fraught with significance.

Eastern Europe's Disturbing Health Crisis

A Revolution in "Family" That Is Eating Its Children

Babies born out of wedlock tend to suffer materially, and severely, for this fateful accident of birth.

North Korea

Mortality and the Fate of Communist States

Father and Son and North Korea

North Korea

Suharto's New Order

Review of Indonesian Politics under Suharto by Michael Vatikiotis.

Are Smokers Rational?

Review of Smoking: Making the Risky Decision by W. Kip Viscusi.

Can the Two Koreas Be One?

Who Wanted Mr. Liu Dead?

Review of Fires of the Dragon by David Kaplan.

How Democracy Took Hold in Two Asian Dragons

Taiwan and South Korea