Conditions in Yemen have changed with the onset of the Arab Spring. Political unrest has created openings for the country’s established opposition movements – including al Qaeda – to maneuver for power. Whether the Arab Spring has brought real regime change in Yemen is unclear. While the international community awaits a fully functional government in the capital of Sana’a, al Qaeda may continue to expand its safe haven in the south. Learn more about the challenges in Yemen.
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Yemen is at a pivotal moment today, three years after the outbreak of popular protests, and the future of America's strategy against al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) is on the line.
Twelve years after 9/11, the administration does not understand al-Qaeda. Nor does it grasp the nature of war. The al-Qaeda war is a component of a larger contest for power in the Middle East, and by failing to understand terrorist groups in that context and to define enduring interests in the region, the President is trying to turn the war into something it's not: one from which we can withdraw.
AEI Senior Analyst for the Critical Threats Project speaks with KT McFarland of FoxNews.com on Yemen.
Tune in to this Google Hangout conversation among al Qaeda experts from AEI and Georgetown University as they discuss the terrorism threat and the implications for the war on terror.
Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula may be in the final stages of preparing an attack on American interests in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region on August 7, 2013.
Current trends point to continued expansion of al Qaeda affiliates and their capabilities, and it is difficult to see how current or proposed American and international policies are likely to contain that expansion, let alone reduce it to 2009 levels or below.
If trends of corruption and insubordination continue to accelerate in the Yemeni military, they could risk knocking out a vital pillar of U.S. counterterrorism strategy.
Will powerbrokers within the Yemeni security forces accept the changes aimed at unifying the weakened army? Can the Yemeni security forces become a truly reliable partner in the fight against AQAP?