A Democratic debate that ignores China and trade isn’t much of a debate
AEIdeas
The core of Trumponomics is a protectionist trade policy built on tariffs, both threatened and implemented. All of America’s largest trading partners, including allies, have been in President Trump sights. And as the president gets ready to meet with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, some analysts are wondering whether the entire US-China trading relationship will fall victim to a New Cold War.
But “trade” — in its economic context — was mentioned only once in last night’s Democratic presidential debate. And “China” was only mentioned a half dozen times, with four of those mentions in a rapid fire round where candidates were asked to briefly mention the “greatest geopolitical threat” to America. And don’t blame the NBC moderators. Candidates had ample opportunity to explore the US-China trade conflict and more broadly China’s challenge to US superpower supremacy.
Maybe their failure to do so was political strategy. Or maybe it’s because they don’t know quite what to say. Progressives and socialists are no fan of free trade — since, you know, free trade is market capitalism in action — and the energy in the Democratic party is on the left.
One obvious counter to the Trump trade policy would be to advocate a return to the Pacific trade deal. But The Atlantic magazine reports that it asked 23 Democratic presidential candidates whether they support [the Trans-Pacific Partnership that Trump pulled the US out of] and “would want to restart negotiations if elected.” Only one, Representative John Delaney of Maryland gave a firm “yes.” This should be a wake-up call to Corporate America if it thinks reflexive Democratic opposition to all things Trump means the Democratic Party is now the party of free trade. One wonders if some of those ambitious 2020 Democrats regret that Trump got to tariffs before they did. Even so, the candidates need to tell voters what they want to do about China (More tariffs? Different tariffs? Ban Chinese tech firms in some fashion?) and what the consequences of those actions — the costs and benefits — might be.
